Wednesday, September 28, 2011

NFL 2011 Week 4

picks to come in the next few days. in the meantime, here's a short video.

known associate:
initial leans... saints, vikings, giants, pats and the sunday night over
MIN -2 at kc. 4 nuts.
this line is soft because both teams are winless and the chiefs kept it close against an overrated chargers team last week. meanwhile, vikes DT kevin williams returned from suspension and proved he's still an elite talent, further bolstering a line that includes all-pro jared allen and emerging brian robison at DE. minnesota has outscored opponents 54-7 in first halves. this will be the week they stop fuckin around and ride their horse All Day to close out the game.. while the chiefs continue to give andrew luck a reason to return for his senior season on the farm.
- chiefs 22 vikings 17. note to self: don't go big on questionable teams, on the road. -4 nuts.

NO -7 at jax. 4 nuts.
i'll take drew brees and blitz-happy gregg williams to cover against rookie blaine gabbert and the jags lackluster passrush.
- saints 23 jaguars 10. saints left some points on the board. +4 nuts.

den at GB -11.5. 1 nut.
also, small plays on detroit, carolina and probably the overs in oakland and baltimore.
- packers 49 broncos 23. +1 nut.
known associate week 4: 2-1. +1 nut.

blue whale:
leaning towards bills, lions, pats/raiders over..ride the hot hand

NFL has not been kind to me, I have better success with college football. Note that i think that this week's board is straight crap. I am on a loosing streak so my picks are fade material.

San Francisco Ninas at Philadelphia Iggles -9.5 Niners on the road for the second straight week as their stout run defense faces a rumored prolific offense in the Eagles. Niners haven't allowed a 100 yd rusher in the past three games and the unheralded Lesean McCoy has rushed for more than 120 yds in two games this season. Smith will have trouble throwing the ball to his recievers but the ground attack should be able to shred up that eagles run defense. Vick should be able to score through the air as well. Eagles by 2 tds, for three nuts. fade me.

final score NINAS 24 Iggles 23. told you

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahacks +5 the only thing that I got going for this game is that CenturyLink Field is very loud and a tough place to play for opposing teams. That and 94% of the public is on Atlanta. I mean why would you bet against Matt Ryan when you have Tavaris Jackson. Or Roddy, Julio and Tony when you have one Dude named Sidney. I know Turner lost a step but would you put your money on Marshawn Lynch? That goon from the Town who brushed off the entire saints Defense during that incomparable 67 yard td run during the playoffs. three nuts. fade this too

final score DirtyBirds 30 Seahacks 28. i got lucky

last but not least Denver Broncos +12 at Green Bay Packers Kyle Orton is one of the most unreliable QBs in this league. But During his days as a Chicago Bear, Matt Forte campaigned strong for rookie of the year consideration, tight end Greg Olson caught 8 tds. As a Bronco QB Brandon Marshall caught double digit TDS and had over 1000 YDS receiving. Even Brandon Lloyd metamorphasized from broke dick to big cock under Orton as a signal caller. New England D gives up the most points and the Green Bay comes second. Green Bay is gonna win this game for sure but not by 12. I dont know errr 4 nuts. like totally fadable

final score Broncos 23 FudgePackers 49. fade.

billy rubin:
my strongest leans right now are minnesota, lions, saints and skins. also kinda feeling niners, titans, texas, raiders and ravens, but to a much lesser extent than those first four.

and here are my picks:

MIN -3 @ KC (4 nuts): that's what i get for posting after known associate. i'm not worried about the extra point though, i think minny should win by at least a TD for the simple fact that vikings running game > chiefs running game.
-KC 22 MIN 17. i don't think betting on games involving AFC west teams is all that smart. -4 nuts.

NOS -7 @ JAC (4 nuts): i guess these two games must be locks if known associate and i agree, huh? brees vs. gabbert, you make the call.
-NOS 23 JAC 10. lower scoring and a little closer than i thought, but good enough for me. +4 nuts.

DET +2.5 @ DAL (2 nuts): i've got detroit winning this game straight up and tony romo possibly being murdered by suh. seriously though, detroit shouldn't have a problem passing on dallas and the lions' defense should be enough to keep the battered cowboys in check. for what it's worth, i still feel pretty strongly about washington -3 at st. louis.
-DET 34 DAL 30. thank you, tony romo and jason garrett. +2 nuts.
billy rubin week 4: 2-1, +2 nuts

Not Your Type

NYG -1 @ ARI (2 nuts): Eli Manning will look constipated while defeating the Cardinals. What? He always looks like that?

NYJ @ BAL -4 (5 nuts): Run.

BUF @ CIN over 43.5 (3 nuts) Throw.

records through week 3:
Billy Rubin: 5-3-1. +6 nuts.
known associate: 4-5. -2 nuts
Blue Whale: 4-4-1. -3 nuts
Not Your Type: 3-6. -7 nuts

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