Sunday, May 31, 2015

Sunday, December 21, 2014

NFL 2104 Week 16

COLTS +3.5 at dallas (2 nuts)
sea at CARDINALS +9 (3 nuts)
BRONCOS -3 at cincinnati (3 nuts)
played the under in nyj for 3 nuts. vikes and g-men for 1 nut each.

Sunday, December 7, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 14

indianapolis at BROWNS +3.5 (3 nuts)
houston at JAGUARS +7 (3 nuts)
new england at CHARGERS +4 (3 nuts)
also steelers, bucs, skins.

Thursday, November 27, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 13

phi at COWBOYS -3 (3 nuts)
no at STEELERS -3 (2 nuts)
PATRIOTS +3 at gb (4 nuts)

Sunday, November 23, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 12

BUCCANEERS +6 at chi (3 nuts)
jac at COLTS -13.5 (3 nuts)
DOLPHINS +7 at den (3 nuts)
and browns.
small jets, chargers, cowboys.

Sunday, November 16, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 11

sea at CHIEFS +1 (4 nuts)
actually played this first half, teased and parlayed full game.
phi at PACKERS -5 (4 nuts)
oak at CHARGERS -10 (2 nuts)
putting some on gb and sd 1h too.

Sunday, November 9, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 10

DOLPHINS +3 at det (3 nuts)
- fins 16 lions 20, -3 nuts.
this went from moneyline dog winner to losing the cover on that TD in the final seconds. bleh.
chi at PACKERS -7 (3 nuts)
- bears 14 packers 55, +3 nuts.
pit at JETS +4.5 (2 nuts)
- steelers 13 jets 20, +2 nuts.

known associate Week 10: 2-1, +2 nuts.
season to date: 13-15-2, no nuts.

Sunday, November 2, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 9

was at VIKINGS PK (2 nuts)
- skins 26 vikes 29, +2 nuts.
phi at TEXANS +1.5 (2 nuts)
- eagles 31 texans 21, -2 nuts.
den at PATRIOTS +3 (4 nuts)
- broncos 21 pats 43, +4 nuts.
shoulda bet this even bigger. peyton stays pussy in foxboro.

known associate Week 9: 2-1, +4 nuts.
season to date: 11-14-2, -2 nuts

Thursday, October 23, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 8




















CHARGERS +9.5 at den (3 nuts)
the flowers and verrett injuries are concerning but this is just too much value to pass up. the broncos obviously put a lot on the sunday night game and might be in for a let down. if not, the chargers are still a legit superbowl contender and seemed to have looked past the chiefs on sunday with eyes on this showdown.
- chargers 21 broncos 35, -3 nuts.
covering vs peyton AND the refs/nfl golden boy bias was too much to ask of SD.

2 more picks to follow. 99% sure the saints will be one of them.

chi at ne OVER 52 (2 nuts)
- bears 23 pats 51, +2 nuts.
gb at SAINTS -1 (3 nuts)
- packers 23 saints 44, +3 nuts.

known associate Week 8: 2-1, +2 nuts.
season to date: 9-13-2, -6 nuts

Sunday, October 19, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 7

car at gb OVER 49 (3 nuts)
- panthers 17 packers 38, +3 nuts.
SAINTS +1.5 at det (3 nuts)
- saints 23 lions 24, +3 nuts.
49ERS +7 at den (4 nuts)
- niners 17 broncos 42, -4 nuts.

known associate Week 7: 2-1, +2 nuts.
season to date: 7-12-2, -8 nuts

Sunday, October 12, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 6

STEELERS +3 at cle (3 nuts)
a.brown eats up browns haden and steelers dont let the browns come back this time.
- pit 10 cle 31, -3 nuts.
gb at DOLPHINS +3 (3 nuts)
banking on the inside intel from philbin + packers coming off blowout + afternoon miami heat helping the fins.
- gb 27 mia 24, 0 nuts.
backdoor push, an aaron rodgers specialty.
det at VIKINGS PK (3 nuts)
calvin out, teddy in.
- det 17 min 3, -3 nuts.
teddy overmatched.
also
bengals. aj's out but burfict's back. bounce back from embarrassment in foxboro. split the bet between full game and half.
- half hit, at least.
jets. holding my nose and hoping the jets come through in their superbowl.
- looked good until geno's pick 6.
giants. mckayla maroney face at the eagles.
- this loss was never in doubt.

known associate Week 6: 0-2-1, -6 nuts.
season to date: 5-11-2, -10 nuts

Sunday, October 5, 2014

Hey Samantha, are you serious?

I haven't posted much lately. I'm not posting any NFL picks because I hate the Santa Clara 49ers and the NFL, but I do have a lot of music I want to post about. I had seen the name ILoveMakonnen on a bunch of blogs lately, but it's a kinda weird name so I never bothered listening. Then knownassociate told me that it's good shit so I started listening, and it is good shit indeed. Unfortunately, I've barely gotten through one of his mixtapes so far because I keep replaying one song. This one:



I don't know if it's the off kilter lyrics or the melancholy tone of the song in general, or both, but I can't get enough.

NFL 2014 Week 5

tb at SAINTS -10 (3 nuts)
i like first half even better.
- tb 31 no 37, -3 nuts.
weak ass brees fucked up the 1h bet with a late INT that led to a tb td.
RAVENS +3 at ind (2 nuts)
colts looking ahead to thursday night.
- bal 13 colts 20, -2 nuts.
i need to quit betting ravens games, but i won't.
cin at PATRIOTS +3 (3 nuts)
brady-chick given a field goal at home? auto-play. plus i have vegas on my side.
- cin 17 ne 43, +3 nuts.
shoulda woulda coulda went bigger.
also falcons and chargers (2 nut level plays). then rams, niners, broncos.

known associate Week 5: 1-2, -2 nuts.
season to date: 5-9-1, -4 nuts

Sunday, September 28, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 4

PACKERS -1.5 at chi (2 nuts)
- gb 38 chi 17, +2 nuts.
PANTHERS +3.5 at bal (3 nuts)
- car 10 bal 38, -3 nuts.
atl at VIKINGS +4.5 (4 nuts)
- atl 28 min 41, +4 nuts.
also bucs, over in dallas, niners, titans.

known associate Week 4: 2-1, +3 nuts.
season to date: 4-7-1, -2 nuts

Sunday, September 21, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 3

known associate:
dal at RAMS +2 (2 nuts)
- cowboys 34 rams 31, -2 nuts.
PACKERS +1 at det (2 nuts)
- packers 7 lions 19, -2 nuts.
STEELERS +3.5 at car (3 nuts)
- steelers 37 panthers 19, +3 nuts.
also saints (by the half), browns, bears, overs in philly and carolina.

known associate Week 3: 1-2, -1 nut.
season to date: 2-6-1, -5 nuts

Sunday, September 14, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 2

known associate:
mia at BILLS -1 (3 nuts)
i was more impressed with the bills win on the road (vs the bears) than the dolphins win at home (vs the pats). tannehill should be improved this year but he's 1-3 vs the bills with a 48% completion rate. plus, this is buffalo's home opener and the fans are gonna be hyped off the news that their beloved bills aren't going anywhere.
- fins 10 bills 29, +3 nuts.
i didn't even realize the bills were honoring ralph wilson and bringing out jim kelly. or maybe they were honoring him too in some way. whichever. the fans were definitely pumped.
chi at 49ERS -7 (3 nuts)
i'll be with the squares on the one despite the fact teams historically fair poorly in their stadium openers. hopefully i'll have some line value by gametime once the public realizes marshall and jeffery won't play. circadian rhythms will also be of help, especially in the second half.
- bears 28 niners 20, -3 nuts.
bleh. misread the marshall and jeffery situations and circadian rhythms were of no help. stupid santa clara niners fucked up my teasers.
phi at COLTS -3 (1 nut)
andrew luck is 10-0 ATS following a loss (6-0 as a fave) and 13-4 ATS at home. plus, this will be the first mnf home game in the luck era and the colts will be desperately avoiding an 0-2 start.
pick change: i'm taking this down to 1 nut as i'm actually laying more on the over.
- eagles 30 colts 27, -1 nut.
i'm glad i didn't lay any real scrill on a side as vegas seemed to have a hand in this one. personal foul penalties should be reviewable. that wasn't a horse-collar tackle. yay, over!
also jaguars, under in cleveland, chargers, and packers. i like the packers as much as my top 3 but so far only have them on a bunch of teasers and smaller parlays.
- i thought the jags were gonna provide good value early this season but i was wrong. they're unbettable right now but will probably cover in week 3 now that i've sworn them off. under in cleveland hit, not by much. chargers benefitted from the heat as they ran the no huddle against the non-defensive subbing seawhores and won straight up. the packers turned over the first snap of the game, went down 21-3 but still almost covered (i bought a point and pushed). i like them as dogs this week in detroit.

known associate Week 2: 1-2, -1 nut.
season to date: 1-4-1, -4 nuts

Sunday, September 7, 2014

NFL 2014 Week 1

known associate:
not sure if my cohorts will be posting this year but i will (for now)...
min at RAMS -2.5 (1 nut)
just betting value. this line moved 2.5 points after the bradford injury. i don't think sam bradford is worth 2.5 points. also, 75% of bets are on the vikes and the only thing worse than a public fave is a public dog.
- vikings 34 rams 6
still don't think bradford is worthy of the line move but hill's in-game injury didn't help matters. -1 nut.
cin at RAVENS -1 (2 nuts)
week 1 road dogs that made the playoffs in the previous season are just 2-21-1 ats since '89. (i.e. it's a fade of the weaker playoff teams.) plus, i think the ravens bounce back a bit this year.
- bengals 23 ravens 16
i get bad flacco about 75% of the time i pick the ravens. wish i had more fantasy stock in giovani bernard this season. -2 nuts.
ind at BRONCOS -7 (4 nuts)
the system fits this as well, and i like it even more in this matchup. colts defense is still doodoo and the broncos will want to avenge their first loss of 2013 and also prove that they're better than their showing on super bowl sunday.
- colts 24 broncos 31
what the shit second half was that? backdoor push, no homo nor nuts.
smaller on texans, dolphins, raiders, saints.
- texans were easy. the dolphins handled biz on a hot and humid miami afternoon like the usually do. raiders came through with a backdoor cover. saints got matty iced.

known associate Week 1: 0-2-1, -3 nuts


Sunday, February 2, 2014

Super Bowl XLVIII

known associate:
sea vs BRONCOS -2 (3 nuts)
sea vs BRONCOS -.5 first half (2 nuts)\

billy rubin took denver and under for 5 nuts each


Sunday, January 19, 2014

NFL Conference Finals

billy rubin:
DEN 1h -3 vs NE (3 nuts)
SF +3.5 @ SEA (1 nut)
DEN vs NE o57.5 (3 nuts)

known associate:
completely forgot to post earlier but i bet the minimum on pats +6 so...
PATRIOTS +5 at den (1 nut)
and
49ERS +3.5 at sea (3 nuts)
sf at sea OVER 40.5 (1 nut)

     Indented Servant
SF +3.5 @ SEA (3 nuts)
SF @ SEA over 40.5 (2 nuts)
SF @ SEA under 20 1H (2 nuts)

Saturday, January 11, 2014

NFL Divisional Round

     Indented Servant
NO +9 @ SEA (3 nuts)
SF -1 @ CAR (4 nuts)
SD +6.5 1H @ DEN (3 nuts)

known associate:
SAINTS +9.5 at sea (2 nuts)
ind at PATRIOTS -7 (2 nuts)
CHARGERS +6.5 1H at den (3 nuts)

billy rubin:
NO +9.5 @ SEA (2 nuts)
NO @ SEA u45 (2 nuts)
SD +9.5 @ DAN (4 nuts)