Saturday, December 28, 2013

NFL Week 17

     Indented Servant
SF -1 @ ARI (2 nuts)
GB -3 @ CHI (6 nuts)
CLE +6.5 @ PIT (2 nuts)

known assoiciate:
i took browns at +10 and the over as well as the jets for the AM but picks will be from the afternoon/snf games...
phi at COWBOYS +7 (4 nuts)
no romo but the 'boys still have plenty of weapons. plus, this eagles d got ran by the peterson-less vikings in week 15. plus, the plus seven.
- phi 24 dal 22, +4 nuts.
NINERS +3 at ari (2 nuts)
must-win for cards, but teams in that position don't fair well ATS unless they're home dogs, which the cardinals aren't. (minus home dogs, must-win teams are 13-21 ATS since 2007). plus, 'zona sucks at defending opposing TEs and #2 WRs (DBs suck besides peterson now that mathieu is out). plus, the cards blitz more than any other team and kaep's QBR of 85.1 against the blitz is the highest among QBs with at least 10 starts. plus the plus three.
- sf 23 az 20, +2 nuts.
buf at PATRIOTS -7 (2 nuts)
bills are a good team, at home. belicheat is 10-2 ATS in week 17.
- buf 20 ne 34, +2 nuts.
also played the over in chicago small.
lvh supercontest picks: dal+6.5(w), gb+4.5(w), ne-9(w), sf-1(w), stl+10.5(l)
- lvh: 4-1

known associate Week 17: (3-0, +8 nuts)
Season: (31-18-2. +44 nuts)
final LVH record: 40-32-3 (56%, which might've won me some money had i actually entered)

billy rubin:
these are late, so you'll just have to take me at my word
SF +3 @ AZ (3 nuts): i actually liked AZ earlier in the week when they were a dog, but not as favorites
CHI  +3 vs GB (3 nuts): chicago been doing me wrong all year, so they owe me
DAL +7 vs PHI (3 nuts): reverse reverse cowboys, no romo

Week 17: 2-1, +3 nuts
Season: 25-26, +10 nuts

Sunday, December 22, 2013

NFL Week 16


known associate:
SAINTS +3.5 at carolina (3 nuts)
- no 13 car 17, -3 nuts.
PATRIOTS -1 at bal (4 nuts)
- ne 41 bal 7, +4 nuts.
atlanta at 49ERS -13.5 (2 nuts)
- atl 24 sf 34, -2 nuts.
lvh supercontest picks: no+3(l), cle+2.5(l), ne+2.5(w), sf-12.5(l), pit+7(w)
- lvh: 2-3

known associate Week 16: (1-2, -1 nut)
Season: (28-18-2. 36 nuts)
LVH picks: 36-31-3

billy rubin:
NE -1 @ BAL (4 nuts)
DEN @ HOU o54 (2 nuts)
CIN - 7.5 vs MIN (2 nuts)

Week 16: 2-1, +4 nuts
Season: 23-25, +7 nuts 

     Indented Servant
OAK +9.5 @ SD (2 nuts)
ARI @ SEA -9.5 (3 nuts)
PIT @ GB -1 (3 nuts)

Sunday, December 15, 2013

NFL Week 15

     Indented Servant
CHI @ CLE +1 (3 nuts)
Something dumb is going to happen.  It will.
BUF @ JAX +2.5 (4 nuts)
More dumb things happen.
PHI -6.5 @ MIN (3 nuts)
Ball. Ball.

billy rubin:
SEA @ NYG u42 (3 nuts)
CAR -10.5 vs NYJ (3 nuts)
GB @ DAL o49.5 (3 nuts)

Week 15: 2-1, +3 nuts
Season: 21-24, +3 nuts 

known associate:
chi at BROWNS +1 (3 nuts)
- chi 38 cle 31, -3 nuts.
cin at STEELERS +2 (4 nuts)
- cin 20 pit 30, +4 nuts.
RAVENS +6 at det (3 nuts)
- bal 18 det 16, +3 nuts.
buyin pit to +3 even though i think they'll win straight up.
also playin oak. and jets, small because geno.
lvh supercontest picks: cle -1(l), pit +3(w), bal +6(w), nyj +11(w), buf -2.5(w)
- lvh: 4-1

known associate Week 15: (2-1, +4 nuts)
Season: (27-16-2. 37 nuts)
LVH picks: 34-28-3

Sunday, December 8, 2013

NFL Week 14

known associate:
TITANS +13.5 at den (3 nuts)
- ten 28 den 51, -3 nuts.
DOLPHINS +3 at pitt (2 nuts)
- mia 34 pit 28, +2 nuts.
cowboys at bears OVER 48 (3 nuts)
- dal 28, chi 45, +3 nuts.
lvh supercontest picks: cle+11.5(w), mia+3(w), ten+12(l), sf-3(l), buf+2.5(l)
- lvh: 2-3

known associate Week 14: (2-1, +2 nuts)
Season: (25-15-2. 33 nuts)
LVH picks: 30-27-3

     Indented Servant 
KC -3.5 @ WAS (4 nuts)
STL +4.5 @ ARI (3 nuts)
MIN @ BAL -6 (3 nuts)

billy rubin:
i guess i got deleted. these were/are my picks:
DEN -14 vs TEN (2 nuts)
NE -10.5 vs CLE (2 nuts)
DAL @ CHI o48 (4 nuts)

Week 14: 2-1, +4 nuts
Season: 19-23, 0 nuts 

Sunday, December 1, 2013

NFL Week 13

billy rubin:

CAR -8 vs TB (3 nuts)
CHI Pk @ MIN (2 nuts)
BUF -3.5 vs ATL (3 nuts)

Week 12: 1-2, -2 nuts
Season: 17-22, -4 nuts

     Indented Servant
CHI +1 @ MIN (4 nuts)
NO +5 @ SEA (2 nuts)
TB +7 @ CAR (3 nuts)

known associate:
slim pickins today...
chi at MIN -1 (3 nuts)
because bears d is dookie. especially their run d. and adrian peterson.
- bears 20 vikes 23, +3 nuts.
bears have only covered 2 games all season yet the public still loves them. maybe it's just hard for them to accept how horrid their defense is this year. to be fair, this play could've easily lost because of viking ineptitude: rhett ellison's dropped go-ahead TD turned interception at the goal line late in the 4q, the facemask penalty that negated a FG that would've won it earlier in OT, and of course christian ponder. i temporarily forgot how awful christian ponder is but luckily he was replaced by slightly less awful matt cassel for most of the game.
TEN +3.5 at ind (3 nuts)
not sure why the titans stopped running on the colts in the second half of their last matchup.
- titans 14 colts 22, -3 nuts.
not sure what to make of this game. on one hand, dumb ass harvard man ryan fitzpatrick threw 3 INTs (4 adjusted INTs) yet still had the titans in position to win the game straight-up until the very end. on the other hand, ryan fitzpatrick is, and always will be, ryan fitzpatrick. my dumb ass shoulda known that. either way, i think the colts are still overvalued. and it's interesting that hardly anyone is doubting andrew luck right now (3 TDs vs 6 TOs last 4 games) but i'm sure his being white and tattoo-less has nothing to do with it.
mia at NYJ PK (2 nuts)
- fins 23 jets 3, -2 nuts.
geno smith is unbettable.
kinda wanna take houston but can't pull the trig. loved the bills earlier in the week but they're just 1-3-1 ats in toronto and the falcons are used to the dome with a long prep week (though they could still be butthurt about losing their superbowl vs the saints, and blown out). sprinklin a lil on 'zona.
lean sd and sf and may play them.
lvh supercontest picks: ten +4.5(l), min pk(w), nyj-2(l), sf -8(w), sd pk(l)
- lvh: 2-3

known associate Week 13: (1-2, -2 nuts)
Season: (23-14-2. 31 nuts)
LVH picks: 28-24-3 (54%)