Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Collits Football 2011 Three (..but actually fif week)

....................................................... 9.29.11 .......................................................

Blue Whale:
University South Florida Bulls -2.5 at Pittsburg University Panthers
Bulls opened up as 3 point favorites with 94% of the consensus picking the Bulls. Now the line is at -2.5. In my opinion books are loading up an buying that .5 point so the Bulls maintain that value. At first glance the line looks fishy. The way South Florida have been rolling over opponents I would think the spread would be -7 or even -10. But the Panthers have the Bulls' number. The past two game they have matched up, Pitt have given South Florida QB BJ Daniels fits going 4/8 with 54 yds passing and 2 ints and 15/29 with 132 yds and 1 int. Revenge should be a factor on the primetime stage. That's why I am putting 3 nuts on South Florida -2.5.
- panthers 44 bulls 17. -3 nuts. lesson learned bet against the heavy public.

leans for saturday: stanford, lsu, clemson, virginia tech, baylor, wisky and roll tide.

known associate:
still shying away from betting against espn thursday night home dogs so...
houston at utep OVER 65 for 1 nut.
not televised locally.. so this isn't a degenerate play, fwiw.
- cougars 49 miners 42. i lied. it was televised on the (newly discovered) cbs sports network. and the offenses were so dominant they winded themselves. really. at the end of one long screen play, rb charles sims fell/dove across the goal line due to exhaustion, then needed help getting back to the sideline. case showed nice touch and accuracy. joe flashed speed. this game was played in 95 degree heat. +1 nut.

might have a play tmrw. saturday, for sure.

....................................................... 9.30.11 .......................................................

Blue Whale:
Utah St. at Bringham Young -7.5
This degenerate matchup is gonna turn my week around. Can't see it any other way. BYU for two nuts. Adding under 50 for two more.
- cougars 27 aggies 24. -4 nuts. maybe college ain't my forte.

....................................................... 10.1.11 .......................................................

known associate:
baylor at KSU +3.5. 2 nuts.
robert griffin III is fun to watch but i'm picking arthur brown and the home-dog wildcats for an outright win.
- wildcats 36 bears 35. rg3 is officially my latest quarterblack mancrush. the former high school track star has almost as many passing tds (18) as incompletions (20) this season. one of those tds was a cold-blooded backfoot 35 yarder on 4th down to the equally impressive kendall wright. unfortunately for the bears, one of those incompletions was a late game interception (rg3's 1st this season) by arthur brown that set up the winning field goal for the wildcats. +2 nuts.

arizona team total OVER 22.5 (at usc). 1 nut.
the trojans are bunk and WR juron criner (6-4, 215) has a favorable matchup against CB nickell robey (5-foot-8, 165 pounds).
- trojans 48 wildcats 41. criner got his td. true freshman ka'deem carey is someone to watch. both defenses are bunk. +1 nut.

alabama at florida UNDER 44.5. 1 nut.
also played the tide at -3. dre kirkpatrick is fresh. trent richardson > mark ingram.
- crimson tide 38 gators 10. -1 nut. roll tide.



collits records through 10/1:
known associate. 4-2. 3 nuts
Not Your Type. 0-1. -2 nuts
Blue Whale. 3-5. -10 nuts

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