Hey Samantha, are you serious?

I haven't posted much lately. I'm not posting any NFL picks because I hate the Santa Clara 49ers and the NFL, but I do have a lot of music I want to post about. I had seen the name ILoveMakonnen on a bunch of blogs lately, but it's a kinda weird name so I never bothered listening. Then knownassociate told me that it's good shit so I started listening, and it is good shit indeed. Unfortunately, I've barely gotten through one of his mixtapes so far because I keep replaying one song. This one:



I don't know if it's the off kilter lyrics or the melancholy tone of the song in general, or both, but I can't get enough.

NFL 2014 Week 5

tb at SAINTS -10 (3 nuts)
i like first half even better.
- tb 31 no 37, -3 nuts.
weak ass brees fucked up the 1h bet with a late INT that led to a tb td.
RAVENS +3 at ind (2 nuts)
colts looking ahead to thursday night.
- bal 13 colts 20, -2 nuts.
i need to quit betting ravens games, but i won't.
cin at PATRIOTS +3 (3 nuts)
brady-chick given a field goal at home? auto-play. plus i have vegas on my side.
- cin 17 ne 43, +3 nuts.
shoulda woulda coulda went bigger.
also falcons and chargers (2 nut level plays). then rams, niners, broncos.

known associate Week 5: 1-2, -2 nuts.
season to date: 5-9-1, -4 nuts

NFL 2014 Week 4

PACKERS -1.5 at chi (2 nuts)
- gb 38 chi 17, +2 nuts.
PANTHERS +3.5 at bal (3 nuts)
- car 10 bal 38, -3 nuts.
atl at VIKINGS +4.5 (4 nuts)
- atl 28 min 41, +4 nuts.
also bucs, over in dallas, niners, titans.

known associate Week 4: 2-1, +3 nuts.
season to date: 4-7-1, -2 nuts

NFL 2014 Week 3

known associate:
dal at RAMS +2 (2 nuts)
- cowboys 34 rams 31, -2 nuts.
PACKERS +1 at det (2 nuts)
- packers 7 lions 19, -2 nuts.
STEELERS +3.5 at car (3 nuts)
- steelers 37 panthers 19, +3 nuts.
also saints (by the half), browns, bears, overs in philly and carolina.

known associate Week 3: 1-2, -1 nut.
season to date: 2-6-1, -5 nuts

NFL 2014 Week 2

known associate:
mia at BILLS -1 (3 nuts)
i was more impressed with the bills win on the road (vs the bears) than the dolphins win at home (vs the pats). tannehill should be improved this year but he's 1-3 vs the bills with a 48% completion rate. plus, this is buffalo's home opener and the fans are gonna be hyped off the news that their beloved bills aren't going anywhere.
- fins 10 bills 29, +3 nuts.
i didn't even realize the bills were honoring ralph wilson and bringing out jim kelly. or maybe they were honoring him too in some way. whichever. the fans were definitely pumped.
chi at 49ERS -7 (3 nuts)
i'll be with the squares on the one despite the fact teams historically fair poorly in their stadium openers. hopefully i'll have some line value by gametime once the public realizes marshall and jeffery won't play. circadian rhythms will also be of help, especially in the second half.
- bears 28 niners 20, -3 nuts.
bleh. misread the marshall and jeffery situations and circadian rhythms were of no help. stupid santa clara niners fucked up my teasers.
phi at COLTS -3 (1 nut)
andrew luck is 10-0 ATS following a loss (6-0 as a fave) and 13-4 ATS at home. plus, this will be the first mnf home game in the luck era and the colts will be desperately avoiding an 0-2 start.
pick change: i'm taking this down to 1 nut as i'm actually laying more on the over.
- eagles 30 colts 27, -1 nut.
i'm glad i didn't lay any real scrill on a side as vegas seemed to have a hand in this one. personal foul penalties should be reviewable. that wasn't a horse-collar tackle. yay, over!
also jaguars, under in cleveland, chargers, and packers. i like the packers as much as my top 3 but so far only have them on a bunch of teasers and smaller parlays.
- i thought the jags were gonna provide good value early this season but i was wrong. they're unbettable right now but will probably cover in week 3 now that i've sworn them off. under in cleveland hit, not by much. chargers benefitted from the heat as they ran the no huddle against the non-defensive subbing seawhores and won straight up. the packers turned over the first snap of the game, went down 21-3 but still almost covered (i bought a point and pushed). i like them as dogs this week in detroit.

known associate Week 2: 1-2, -1 nut.
season to date: 1-4-1, -4 nuts

NFL 2014 Week 1

known associate:
not sure if my cohorts will be posting this year but i will (for now)...
min at RAMS -2.5 (1 nut)
just betting value. this line moved 2.5 points after the bradford injury. i don't think sam bradford is worth 2.5 points. also, 75% of bets are on the vikes and the only thing worse than a public fave is a public dog.
- vikings 34 rams 6
still don't think bradford is worthy of the line move but hill's in-game injury didn't help matters. -1 nut.
cin at RAVENS -1 (2 nuts)
week 1 road dogs that made the playoffs in the previous season are just 2-21-1 ats since '89. (i.e. it's a fade of the weaker playoff teams.) plus, i think the ravens bounce back a bit this year.
- bengals 23 ravens 16
i get bad flacco about 75% of the time i pick the ravens. wish i had more fantasy stock in giovani bernard this season. -2 nuts.
ind at BRONCOS -7 (4 nuts)
the system fits this as well, and i like it even more in this matchup. colts defense is still doodoo and the broncos will want to avenge their first loss of 2013 and also prove that they're better than their showing on super bowl sunday.
- colts 24 broncos 31
what the shit second half was that? backdoor push, no homo nor nuts.
smaller on texans, dolphins, raiders, saints.
- texans were easy. the dolphins handled biz on a hot and humid miami afternoon like the usually do. raiders came through with a backdoor cover. saints got matty iced.

known associate Week 1: 0-2-1, -3 nuts

Super Bowl XLVIII

known associate:
sea vs BRONCOS -2 (3 nuts)
sea vs BRONCOS -.5 first half (2 nuts)\

billy rubin took denver and under for 5 nuts each

NFL Conference Finals

billy rubin:
DEN 1h -3 vs NE (3 nuts)
SF +3.5 @ SEA (1 nut)
DEN vs NE o57.5 (3 nuts)

known associate:
completely forgot to post earlier but i bet the minimum on pats +6 so...
PATRIOTS +5 at den (1 nut)
and
49ERS +3.5 at sea (3 nuts)
sf at sea OVER 40.5 (1 nut)

     Indented Servant
SF +3.5 @ SEA (3 nuts)
SF @ SEA over 40.5 (2 nuts)
SF @ SEA under 20 1H (2 nuts)

NFL Divisional Round

     Indented Servant
NO +9 @ SEA (3 nuts)
SF -1 @ CAR (4 nuts)
SD +6.5 1H @ DEN (3 nuts)

known associate:
SAINTS +9.5 at sea (2 nuts)
ind at PATRIOTS -7 (2 nuts)
CHARGERS +6.5 1H at den (3 nuts)

billy rubin:
NO +9.5 @ SEA (2 nuts)
NO @ SEA u45 (2 nuts)
SD +9.5 @ DAN (4 nuts)

NFL Wild Card Weekend

     Indented Servant
NO +3 @ PHI (3 nuts)
Initially I liked the Eagles because they were coming in hot like when someone is trying to land on the ship in Top Gun for NES , but I changed my mind.  It would be a better story if the Saints won and went full heel.
SD @ CIN -7 (3 nuts)
The only things chargers will be good for tomorrow is charging my phone so that I  can type cool comments and for losing to a QB with some red-ass hair.
SF - 2.5 @ GB (4 nuts)
Terrell Owens' ghost will haunt the Packers into losing.  What?  Terrell Owens is still alive?  So what!  It's all about astral projection.

known associate:
SAINTS +3 at phi (3 nuts)
- no 26 phi 24, +3 nuts.
CHARGERS +7 at cin (1 nut)
- sd 27 cin 10, +1 nut.
NINERS -2.5 at gb (3 nuts)
- sf 23 gb 20, +3 nuts.

known associate Wild Card Week: (3-0, +7 nuts)
Season: (34-18-2. +51 nuts)
Final LVH Record: 40-32-3 (56%)

billy rubin:
PHI vs NO o55 (2 nuts) i could never land the plan on Top Gun
CIN vs SD o46 (2 nuts) red ass hair
SF -3 @ GB (4 nuts) asshole projections

NFL Week 17

     Indented Servant
SF -1 @ ARI (2 nuts)
GB -3 @ CHI (6 nuts)
CLE +6.5 @ PIT (2 nuts)

known assoiciate:
i took browns at +10 and the over as well as the jets for the AM but picks will be from the afternoon/snf games...
phi at COWBOYS +7 (4 nuts)
no romo but the 'boys still have plenty of weapons. plus, this eagles d got ran by the peterson-less vikings in week 15. plus, the plus seven.
- phi 24 dal 22, +4 nuts.
NINERS +3 at ari (2 nuts)
must-win for cards, but teams in that position don't fair well ATS unless they're home dogs, which the cardinals aren't. (minus home dogs, must-win teams are 13-21 ATS since 2007). plus, 'zona sucks at defending opposing TEs and #2 WRs (DBs suck besides peterson now that mathieu is out). plus, the cards blitz more than any other team and kaep's QBR of 85.1 against the blitz is the highest among QBs with at least 10 starts. plus the plus three.
- sf 23 az 20, +2 nuts.
buf at PATRIOTS -7 (2 nuts)
bills are a good team, at home. belicheat is 10-2 ATS in week 17.
- buf 20 ne 34, +2 nuts.
also played the over in chicago small.
lvh supercontest picks: dal+6.5(w), gb+4.5(w), ne-9(w), sf-1(w), stl+10.5(l)
- lvh: 4-1

known associate Week 17: (3-0, +8 nuts)
Season: (31-18-2. +44 nuts)
final LVH record: 40-32-3 (56%, which might've won me some money had i actually entered)

billy rubin:
these are late, so you'll just have to take me at my word
SF +3 @ AZ (3 nuts): i actually liked AZ earlier in the week when they were a dog, but not as favorites
CHI  +3 vs GB (3 nuts): chicago been doing me wrong all year, so they owe me
DAL +7 vs PHI (3 nuts): reverse reverse cowboys, no romo

Week 17: 2-1, +3 nuts
Season: 25-26, +10 nuts

NFL Week 16

known associate:
SAINTS +3.5 at carolina (3 nuts)
- no 13 car 17, -3 nuts.
PATRIOTS -1 at bal (4 nuts)
- ne 41 bal 7, +4 nuts.
atlanta at 49ERS -13.5 (2 nuts)
- atl 24 sf 34, -2 nuts.
lvh supercontest picks: no+3(l), cle+2.5(l), ne+2.5(w), sf-12.5(l), pit+7(w)
- lvh: 2-3

known associate Week 16: (1-2, -1 nut)
Season: (28-18-2. 36 nuts)
LVH picks: 36-31-3

billy rubin:
NE -1 @ BAL (4 nuts)
DEN @ HOU o54 (2 nuts)
CIN - 7.5 vs MIN (2 nuts)

Week 16: 2-1, +4 nuts
Season: 23-25, +7 nuts 

     Indented Servant
OAK +9.5 @ SD (2 nuts)
ARI @ SEA -9.5 (3 nuts)
PIT @ GB -1 (3 nuts)

NFL Week 15

     Indented Servant
CHI @ CLE +1 (3 nuts)
Something dumb is going to happen.  It will.
BUF @ JAX +2.5 (4 nuts)
More dumb things happen.
PHI -6.5 @ MIN (3 nuts)
Ball. Ball.

billy rubin:
SEA @ NYG u42 (3 nuts)
CAR -10.5 vs NYJ (3 nuts)
GB @ DAL o49.5 (3 nuts)

Week 15: 2-1, +3 nuts
Season: 21-24, +3 nuts 

known associate:
chi at BROWNS +1 (3 nuts)
- chi 38 cle 31, -3 nuts.
cin at STEELERS +2 (4 nuts)
- cin 20 pit 30, +4 nuts.
RAVENS +6 at det (3 nuts)
- bal 18 det 16, +3 nuts.
buyin pit to +3 even though i think they'll win straight up.
also playin oak. and jets, small because geno.
lvh supercontest picks: cle -1(l), pit +3(w), bal +6(w), nyj +11(w), buf -2.5(w)
- lvh: 4-1

known associate Week 15: (2-1, +4 nuts)
Season: (27-16-2. 37 nuts)
LVH picks: 34-28-3

NFL Week 14

known associate:
TITANS +13.5 at den (3 nuts)
- ten 28 den 51, -3 nuts.
DOLPHINS +3 at pitt (2 nuts)
- mia 34 pit 28, +2 nuts.
cowboys at bears OVER 48 (3 nuts)
- dal 28, chi 45, +3 nuts.
lvh supercontest picks: cle+11.5(w), mia+3(w), ten+12(l), sf-3(l), buf+2.5(l)
- lvh: 2-3

known associate Week 14: (2-1, +2 nuts)
Season: (25-15-2. 33 nuts)
LVH picks: 30-27-3

     Indented Servant 
KC -3.5 @ WAS (4 nuts)
STL +4.5 @ ARI (3 nuts)
MIN @ BAL -6 (3 nuts)

billy rubin:
i guess i got deleted. these were/are my picks:
DEN -14 vs TEN (2 nuts)
NE -10.5 vs CLE (2 nuts)
DAL @ CHI o48 (4 nuts)

Week 14: 2-1, +4 nuts
Season: 19-23, 0 nuts 

NFL Week 13

billy rubin:

CAR -8 vs TB (3 nuts)
CHI Pk @ MIN (2 nuts)
BUF -3.5 vs ATL (3 nuts)

Week 12: 1-2, -2 nuts
Season: 17-22, -4 nuts

     Indented Servant
CHI +1 @ MIN (4 nuts)
NO +5 @ SEA (2 nuts)
TB +7 @ CAR (3 nuts)

known associate:
slim pickins today...
chi at MIN -1 (3 nuts)
because bears d is dookie. especially their run d. and adrian peterson.
- bears 20 vikes 23, +3 nuts.
bears have only covered 2 games all season yet the public still loves them. maybe it's just hard for them to accept how horrid their defense is this year. to be fair, this play could've easily lost because of viking ineptitude: rhett ellison's dropped go-ahead TD turned interception at the goal line late in the 4q, the facemask penalty that negated a FG that would've won it earlier in OT, and of course christian ponder. i temporarily forgot how awful christian ponder is but luckily he was replaced by slightly less awful matt cassel for most of the game.
TEN +3.5 at ind (3 nuts)
not sure why the titans stopped running on the colts in the second half of their last matchup.
- titans 14 colts 22, -3 nuts.
not sure what to make of this game. on one hand, dumb ass harvard man ryan fitzpatrick threw 3 INTs (4 adjusted INTs) yet still had the titans in position to win the game straight-up until the very end. on the other hand, ryan fitzpatrick is, and always will be, ryan fitzpatrick. my dumb ass shoulda known that. either way, i think the colts are still overvalued. and it's interesting that hardly anyone is doubting andrew luck right now (3 TDs vs 6 TOs last 4 games) but i'm sure his being white and tattoo-less has nothing to do with it.
mia at NYJ PK (2 nuts)
- fins 23 jets 3, -2 nuts.
geno smith is unbettable.
kinda wanna take houston but can't pull the trig. loved the bills earlier in the week but they're just 1-3-1 ats in toronto and the falcons are used to the dome with a long prep week (though they could still be butthurt about losing their superbowl vs the saints, and blown out). sprinklin a lil on 'zona.
lean sd and sf and may play them.
lvh supercontest picks: ten +4.5(l), min pk(w), nyj-2(l), sf -8(w), sd pk(l)
- lvh: 2-3

known associate Week 13: (1-2, -2 nuts)
Season: (23-14-2. 31 nuts)
LVH picks: 28-24-3 (54%)

Bay Luv

Here's a mix I did at a good friend's recent birthday party. It's a bunch of mostly 90s-era Bay Area gangsta rap featuring the likes of Too $hort, the Luniz, Mac Dre, Mac Mall, Cellski, E-40, JT the Bigga Figga, San Quinn, Dubee, IMP, RBL Posse, Dangerous Dame and 11/5. Hope you enjoy it, whoever you may be.

NFL Week 12

     Indented Servant
CAR -4.5 @ MIA (4 nuts)
In an all-animal team-name match-up, Panthers beat Dolphins on land.  If the game were played in water, I would make a different pick because Panthers don't belong in water.
SD @ KC -4 (3 nuts)
Possible headlines after KC wins this game: "Chiefs Take Charge(rs)",  "Multiple Dead Phones as Chargers Are Unplugged By Chiefs ", "KC Masterpiece in Saucing of San Diego".
TB @ DET - 8 (3 nuts)
Tampa Bay travels to Detroit to get some dome, but will end up wishing they never came.

billy rubin:
KC -3.5 vs SD (2 nuts): i love me some alex smith. kc's d at home at 10am pacific time should be too much for those beach bums from a whale's vagina.
PIT +2.5 @ CLE (2 nuts): cleveland isn't necessarily a bad team, and games within this division tend to be screwy, but i like the steelers as a road dog to win outright. watch me be all wrong.
CHI +2.5 @ StL (3 nuts): i guess i'm busting most of my nuts on this game by default. the rams can't really score, outside of that one crazy game against the colts, and the bears have a lot of weapons for mccown. there must be something going on here that i don't know about, but since ignorance is bliss i'm happy to roll with the bears.

Week 12: 1-2, -3 nuts
Season: 16-20, -2 nuts

partially erased...
known associate:
CHARGERS  +4 at kc (3 nuts)
- chargers 41 chiefs 38, +3 nuts.
ind at CARDINALS -3 (3 nuts)
- colts 11 cardinals 40, +3 nuts.
den at PATRIOTS +2.5 (2 nuts)
- broncos 31 pats 34, +2 nuts.
also playing jets, dolphins, cowboys, browns.
like niners but staying away from the public side on mnf.
lvh supercontest picks: sd +4.5(w), dal +2.5(w), mia +4(p), ne +2.5(w), az -2.5(w).
- lvh: 4-0-1

known associate Week 12: (3-0, +8 nuts)
Season: (22-12-2. 33 nuts)
LVH picks: 26-21-3

NFL Week 11

     Indented Servant
BAL @ CHI -3 (3 nuts)
Since this isn't an AFC North game, things should go the way the line points to.  Hopefully crazy shit doesn't apply to all games in the Northern divisions, or else crazy shit will happen in this game, such as Baltimore channeling the Colts and the Browns in addition to the Ravens, then having the power of three teams to Serpentor the Bears into submission.  This I command!
KC +7.5 @ DEN (3 nuts)
Alex Wright > Alex Smith > Alex P. Keaton > Alex Denvercovering
NE +3 @ CAR (3 nuts)
In a rematch of one of the better world championship of American football games in recent memory, what happened to the crappy looking Panthers and Patriots that were being sucky earlier this season? That question makes about as much sense as that Lex Luthor looking mothereffer on The Voice skiddleybopweeowwing Gnarls Barkley's "Crazy".  Anyway, Tom Brady's handsomeness and leg warmers will win out at the end of this game. 

billy rubin:
BUF +2.5 vs NYJ (3 nuts)
Divisional underdog at home, don't do me wrong.
DET -3 @ PIT (2 nuts)
Nothing associated with Detroit could ever be bad.
WAS +5.5 @ PHI (2 nuts)
Vengeance for the 'Skins.

Week 11: 1-2, -1 nut
Season: 15-18, + 1 nut

erased again...
known associate:
det at PIT +3 (3 nuts)
- lion 27 steelers 37, +3 nuts.
SF +3 at no (2 nuts)
- niners 20 saints 23, push.
NE +3 at car (4 nuts)
- pats 20 panthers 24, -4 nuts.
lvh supercontest picks: cle +5.5(l), ne +2.5(l), gb +5(l), sf +3(p), pit +2.5(w)
- lvh: 1-3-1

known associate Week 11: (1-1-1, -1 nut)
Season: (19-12-2. 25 nuts)
LVH picks: 22-21-2

NFL Week 10

The sauce du jour is weak because that's what most of this week's matchups are. Here are our picks:

billy rubin:
BUF +4 @ PIT (3 nuts)
SEA -4 @ ATL (3 nuts)
NO -6.5 vs DAL (4 nuts)

Week 10: 2-1, +4 nuts
Season: 14-16, +2 nuts 

     Indented Servant
DAL @ NO - 6 (3 nuts)
CIN +1 @ BAL (2 nuts)
OAK +7 @ NYG (2 nuts)

Week 10: (2-1, 3 nuts)
Season: (18-12, 20 nuts)

known associate:
phi at GREEN BAY +1 (3 nuts)
- eagles 27 pack 13, -3 nuts.
BUFFALO +3 at pit (3 nuts)
- bills 10 steelers 23, -3 nuts.
cin at BALTIMORE -1.5 (2 nuts)
- bengals 17 ravens 20, +2 nuts.
lvh supercontest picks: gb -1.5(l), atl +6(l), bal +1.5(w), buf +3(l), oak +7(w)
- lvh: 2-3

known associate Week 10: (1-2, -4 nuts)
Season: (18-11-1. 26 nuts)
LVH picks: 21-18-1 (54%)

NFL Week 9

known associate's week 9 thoughts from the pacific northwest:
the bills were bout to be one of my bigger plays of the year but thad lewis's gimpness is looking to make it a no play. kc's house of cards may stand yet another week. slim pickins otherwise in this heavy bye week but i do like the jets to bounce back (or at least keep it close) and the texans to keep their season alive. also expecting plenty points in dc and gb. fwiw, the fins were in this group until the jonathan martin situation scared me off of laying nuts. picks in the AM after i see the injury reports..
posted these at 9:55am but billy rubin must've overwritten...
no at NYJ +6.5 (3 nuts)
- saints 20 jets 26, +3 nuts.
sd at was OVER 49.5 (3 nuts)
- chargers 24 skins 30 (OT), +3 nuts.
ATL +9 at car (1 nut)
- falcons 10 panthers 34, -1 nut.
also hou+1 and buf +5.5
lvh supercontest picks: nyj +6(w), hou+2.5(l), atl+7.5(l), buf+3(l), sd-1(l)
- lvh picks: 1-4

Week 9: (2-1, +5 nuts)
Season: (17-9-1. 30 nuts)
LVH picks: 19-15-1

     Indented Servant
TEN -3 @ STL (3 nuts)
 Jeff Fisher's mustache.
BAL @ CLE +1.5 (3 nuts)
If I were Cleveland, my abandonment issues with the Ravens would make me not let them into Cleveland again, because after the game, they will just leave again. I'd cry and write in my journal and watch Up and cry some more when (SPOILER ALERT) the UP man's wife dies.  Then I'd read Old Yeller and cry some more when (SPOLIER ALERT) Old Yeller gets capped. I sure do spend a lot of time crying.
IND -2 @ HOU (3 nuts)
The Colt's defense should hold whatever offense the Texans can cobble together at bay.  Andrew Luck will show off for the Sunday Night cameras.

Week 9: (3-0, 9 nuts)
Season: (16-11, 17 nuts)

billy rubin:
CAR -9 vs ATL (3 nuts): putting your faith in cam newton and ron rivera probably isn't the wisest strategy, but atlanta is awful and i have carolina winning in a blowout. hopefully it doesn't end up staying close late, allowing rivera and newton to screw this one up.

SD +1.5 @ WAS (3 nuts): again, i'm probably crazy counting on rivers and the chargers traveling east and getting the job done, but washington's d is pretty terrible. the over is probably the safer bet here, but i really like the chargers today.

SEA -15.5 vs TB (3 nuts): this is a big number, but of all the awful teams i'm going against today tamps is the awfullest. seattle's o-line is banged up, so there's definitely a chink in the armor for tampa to attack, but i can't see tampa's offense moving the ball at all when vjax is their only real weapon. at some point, and it could be earlier than later, the tampa d will cave and this one will be a joke. 

Week 9: 1-2, -3 nuts
Season: 12-15, 0 nuts