I've done this once before, but I'd like to appeal to our reader(s) on behalf of a Cocker Spaniel stuck in a shelter in Los Angeles who is suffering from a really bad case of mange, which is "a skin disease caused by parasitic mites that causes severe itching, hair loss, and the formation of scabs and lesions." I know I probably love dogs and, specifically, Cocker Spaniels more than anybody who might read this, but if you can spare a few bucks, or if you're not sure what team to put your $25 on, but it's just burning a whole in your pocket, please think about helping this dog get the treatment she needs.
Here's a link to a page about her story and the organization that's trying to help her. The image is kinda disturbing because her mange is so bad, so I apologize in advance.
Here's the ChipIn that's been set up for her.
Friday, September 30, 2011
Wednesday, September 28, 2011
NFL 2011 Week 4
picks to come in the next few days. in the meantime, here's a short video.
known associate:
initial leans... saints, vikings, giants, pats and the sunday night over
picks...
MIN -2 at kc. 4 nuts.
this line is soft because both teams are winless and the chiefs kept it close against an overrated chargers team last week. meanwhile, vikes DT kevin williams returned from suspension and proved he's still an elite talent, further bolstering a line that includes all-pro jared allen and emerging brian robison at DE. minnesota has outscored opponents 54-7 in first halves. this will be the week they stop fuckin around and ride their horse All Day to close out the game.. while the chiefs continue to give andrew luck a reason to return for his senior season on the farm.
- chiefs 22 vikings 17. note to self: don't go big on questionable teams, on the road. -4 nuts.
NO -7 at jax. 4 nuts.
i'll take drew brees and blitz-happy gregg williams to cover against rookie blaine gabbert and the jags lackluster passrush.
- saints 23 jaguars 10. saints left some points on the board. +4 nuts.
den at GB -11.5. 1 nut.
also, small plays on detroit, carolina and probably the overs in oakland and baltimore.
- packers 49 broncos 23. +1 nut.
known associate week 4: 2-1. +1 nut.
blue whale:
leaning towards bills, lions, pats/raiders over..ride the hot hand
NFL has not been kind to me, I have better success with college football. Note that i think that this week's board is straight crap. I am on a loosing streak so my picks are fade material.
San Francisco Ninas at Philadelphia Iggles -9.5 Niners on the road for the second straight week as their stout run defense faces a rumored prolific offense in the Eagles. Niners haven't allowed a 100 yd rusher in the past three games and the unheralded Lesean McCoy has rushed for more than 120 yds in two games this season. Smith will have trouble throwing the ball to his recievers but the ground attack should be able to shred up that eagles run defense. Vick should be able to score through the air as well. Eagles by 2 tds, for three nuts. fade me.
final score NINAS 24 Iggles 23. told you
Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahacks +5 the only thing that I got going for this game is that CenturyLink Field is very loud and a tough place to play for opposing teams. That and 94% of the public is on Atlanta. I mean why would you bet against Matt Ryan when you have Tavaris Jackson. Or Roddy, Julio and Tony when you have one Dude named Sidney. I know Turner lost a step but would you put your money on Marshawn Lynch? That goon from the Town who brushed off the entire saints Defense during that incomparable 67 yard td run during the playoffs. three nuts. fade this too
final score DirtyBirds 30 Seahacks 28. i got lucky
last but not least Denver Broncos +12 at Green Bay Packers Kyle Orton is one of the most unreliable QBs in this league. But During his days as a Chicago Bear, Matt Forte campaigned strong for rookie of the year consideration, tight end Greg Olson caught 8 tds. As a Bronco QB Brandon Marshall caught double digit TDS and had over 1000 YDS receiving. Even Brandon Lloyd metamorphasized from broke dick to big cock under Orton as a signal caller. New England D gives up the most points and the Green Bay comes second. Green Bay is gonna win this game for sure but not by 12. I dont know errr 4 nuts. like totally fadable
final score Broncos 23 FudgePackers 49. fade.
billy rubin:
my strongest leans right now are minnesota, lions, saints and skins. also kinda feeling niners, titans, texas, raiders and ravens, but to a much lesser extent than those first four.
and here are my picks:
MIN -3 @ KC (4 nuts): that's what i get for posting after known associate. i'm not worried about the extra point though, i think minny should win by at least a TD for the simple fact that vikings running game > chiefs running game.
-KC 22 MIN 17. i don't think betting on games involving AFC west teams is all that smart. -4 nuts.
NOS -7 @ JAC (4 nuts): i guess these two games must be locks if known associate and i agree, huh? brees vs. gabbert, you make the call.
-NOS 23 JAC 10. lower scoring and a little closer than i thought, but good enough for me. +4 nuts.
DET +2.5 @ DAL (2 nuts): i've got detroit winning this game straight up and tony romo possibly being murdered by suh. seriously though, detroit shouldn't have a problem passing on dallas and the lions' defense should be enough to keep the battered cowboys in check. for what it's worth, i still feel pretty strongly about washington -3 at st. louis.
-DET 34 DAL 30. thank you, tony romo and jason garrett. +2 nuts.
billy rubin week 4: 2-1, +2 nuts
Not Your Type
NYG -1 @ ARI (2 nuts): Eli Manning will look constipated while defeating the Cardinals. What? He always looks like that?
NYJ @ BAL -4 (5 nuts): Run.
BUF @ CIN over 43.5 (3 nuts) Throw.
records through week 3:
Billy Rubin: 5-3-1. +6 nuts.
known associate: 4-5. -2 nuts
Blue Whale: 4-4-1. -3 nuts
Not Your Type: 3-6. -7 nuts
known associate:
initial leans... saints, vikings, giants, pats and the sunday night over
picks...
MIN -2 at kc. 4 nuts.
this line is soft because both teams are winless and the chiefs kept it close against an overrated chargers team last week. meanwhile, vikes DT kevin williams returned from suspension and proved he's still an elite talent, further bolstering a line that includes all-pro jared allen and emerging brian robison at DE. minnesota has outscored opponents 54-7 in first halves. this will be the week they stop fuckin around and ride their horse All Day to close out the game.. while the chiefs continue to give andrew luck a reason to return for his senior season on the farm.
- chiefs 22 vikings 17. note to self: don't go big on questionable teams, on the road. -4 nuts.
NO -7 at jax. 4 nuts.
i'll take drew brees and blitz-happy gregg williams to cover against rookie blaine gabbert and the jags lackluster passrush.
- saints 23 jaguars 10. saints left some points on the board. +4 nuts.
den at GB -11.5. 1 nut.
also, small plays on detroit, carolina and probably the overs in oakland and baltimore.
- packers 49 broncos 23. +1 nut.
known associate week 4: 2-1. +1 nut.
blue whale:
leaning towards bills, lions, pats/raiders over..ride the hot hand
NFL has not been kind to me, I have better success with college football. Note that i think that this week's board is straight crap. I am on a loosing streak so my picks are fade material.
San Francisco Ninas at Philadelphia Iggles -9.5 Niners on the road for the second straight week as their stout run defense faces a rumored prolific offense in the Eagles. Niners haven't allowed a 100 yd rusher in the past three games and the unheralded Lesean McCoy has rushed for more than 120 yds in two games this season. Smith will have trouble throwing the ball to his recievers but the ground attack should be able to shred up that eagles run defense. Vick should be able to score through the air as well. Eagles by 2 tds, for three nuts. fade me.
final score NINAS 24 Iggles 23. told you
Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahacks +5 the only thing that I got going for this game is that CenturyLink Field is very loud and a tough place to play for opposing teams. That and 94% of the public is on Atlanta. I mean why would you bet against Matt Ryan when you have Tavaris Jackson. Or Roddy, Julio and Tony when you have one Dude named Sidney. I know Turner lost a step but would you put your money on Marshawn Lynch? That goon from the Town who brushed off the entire saints Defense during that incomparable 67 yard td run during the playoffs. three nuts. fade this too
final score DirtyBirds 30 Seahacks 28. i got lucky
last but not least Denver Broncos +12 at Green Bay Packers Kyle Orton is one of the most unreliable QBs in this league. But During his days as a Chicago Bear, Matt Forte campaigned strong for rookie of the year consideration, tight end Greg Olson caught 8 tds. As a Bronco QB Brandon Marshall caught double digit TDS and had over 1000 YDS receiving. Even Brandon Lloyd metamorphasized from broke dick to big cock under Orton as a signal caller. New England D gives up the most points and the Green Bay comes second. Green Bay is gonna win this game for sure but not by 12. I dont know errr 4 nuts. like totally fadable
final score Broncos 23 FudgePackers 49. fade.
billy rubin:
my strongest leans right now are minnesota, lions, saints and skins. also kinda feeling niners, titans, texas, raiders and ravens, but to a much lesser extent than those first four.
and here are my picks:
MIN -3 @ KC (4 nuts): that's what i get for posting after known associate. i'm not worried about the extra point though, i think minny should win by at least a TD for the simple fact that vikings running game > chiefs running game.
-KC 22 MIN 17. i don't think betting on games involving AFC west teams is all that smart. -4 nuts.
NOS -7 @ JAC (4 nuts): i guess these two games must be locks if known associate and i agree, huh? brees vs. gabbert, you make the call.
-NOS 23 JAC 10. lower scoring and a little closer than i thought, but good enough for me. +4 nuts.
DET +2.5 @ DAL (2 nuts): i've got detroit winning this game straight up and tony romo possibly being murdered by suh. seriously though, detroit shouldn't have a problem passing on dallas and the lions' defense should be enough to keep the battered cowboys in check. for what it's worth, i still feel pretty strongly about washington -3 at st. louis.
-DET 34 DAL 30. thank you, tony romo and jason garrett. +2 nuts.
billy rubin week 4: 2-1, +2 nuts
Not Your Type
NYG -1 @ ARI (2 nuts): Eli Manning will look constipated while defeating the Cardinals. What? He always looks like that?
NYJ @ BAL -4 (5 nuts): Run.
BUF @ CIN over 43.5 (3 nuts) Throw.
records through week 3:
Billy Rubin: 5-3-1. +6 nuts.
known associate: 4-5. -2 nuts
Blue Whale: 4-4-1. -3 nuts
Not Your Type: 3-6. -7 nuts
Collits Football 2011 Three (..but actually fif week)
....................................................... 9.29.11 .......................................................
Blue Whale:
University South Florida Bulls -2.5 at Pittsburg University Panthers
Bulls opened up as 3 point favorites with 94% of the consensus picking the Bulls. Now the line is at -2.5. In my opinion books are loading up an buying that .5 point so the Bulls maintain that value. At first glance the line looks fishy. The way South Florida have been rolling over opponents I would think the spread would be -7 or even -10. But the Panthers have the Bulls' number. The past two game they have matched up, Pitt have given South Florida QB BJ Daniels fits going 4/8 with 54 yds passing and 2 ints and 15/29 with 132 yds and 1 int. Revenge should be a factor on the primetime stage. That's why I am putting 3 nuts on South Florida -2.5.
- panthers 44 bulls 17. -3 nuts. lesson learned bet against the heavy public.
leans for saturday: stanford, lsu, clemson, virginia tech, baylor, wisky and roll tide.
known associate:
still shying away from betting against espn thursday night home dogs so...
houston at utep OVER 65 for 1 nut.
not televised locally.. so this isn't a degenerate play, fwiw.
- cougars 49 miners 42. i lied. it was televised on the (newly discovered) cbs sports network. and the offenses were so dominant they winded themselves. really. at the end of one long screen play, rb charles sims fell/dove across the goal line due to exhaustion, then needed help getting back to the sideline. case showed nice touch and accuracy. joe flashed speed. this game was played in 95 degree heat. +1 nut.
might have a play tmrw. saturday, for sure.
....................................................... 9.30.11 .......................................................
Blue Whale:
Utah St. at Bringham Young -7.5
This degenerate matchup is gonna turn my week around. Can't see it any other way. BYU for two nuts. Adding under 50 for two more.
- cougars 27 aggies 24. -4 nuts. maybe college ain't my forte.
....................................................... 10.1.11 .......................................................
known associate:
baylor at KSU +3.5. 2 nuts.
robert griffin III is fun to watch but i'm picking arthur brown and the home-dog wildcats for an outright win.
- wildcats 36 bears 35. rg3 is officially my latest quarterblack mancrush. the former high school track star has almost as many passing tds (18) as incompletions (20) this season. one of those tds was a cold-blooded backfoot 35 yarder on 4th down to the equally impressive kendall wright. unfortunately for the bears, one of those incompletions was a late game interception (rg3's 1st this season) by arthur brown that set up the winning field goal for the wildcats. +2 nuts.
arizona team total OVER 22.5 (at usc). 1 nut.
the trojans are bunk and WR juron criner (6-4, 215) has a favorable matchup against CB nickell robey (5-foot-8, 165 pounds).
- trojans 48 wildcats 41. criner got his td. true freshman ka'deem carey is someone to watch. both defenses are bunk. +1 nut.
alabama at florida UNDER 44.5. 1 nut.
also played the tide at -3. dre kirkpatrick is fresh. trent richardson > mark ingram.
- crimson tide 38 gators 10. -1 nut. roll tide.
collits records through 10/1:
known associate. 4-2. 3 nuts
Not Your Type. 0-1. -2 nuts
Blue Whale. 3-5. -10 nuts
Blue Whale:
University South Florida Bulls -2.5 at Pittsburg University Panthers
Bulls opened up as 3 point favorites with 94% of the consensus picking the Bulls. Now the line is at -2.5. In my opinion books are loading up an buying that .5 point so the Bulls maintain that value. At first glance the line looks fishy. The way South Florida have been rolling over opponents I would think the spread would be -7 or even -10. But the Panthers have the Bulls' number. The past two game they have matched up, Pitt have given South Florida QB BJ Daniels fits going 4/8 with 54 yds passing and 2 ints and 15/29 with 132 yds and 1 int. Revenge should be a factor on the primetime stage. That's why I am putting 3 nuts on South Florida -2.5.
- panthers 44 bulls 17. -3 nuts. lesson learned bet against the heavy public.
leans for saturday: stanford, lsu, clemson, virginia tech, baylor, wisky and roll tide.
known associate:
still shying away from betting against espn thursday night home dogs so...
houston at utep OVER 65 for 1 nut.
not televised locally.. so this isn't a degenerate play, fwiw.
- cougars 49 miners 42. i lied. it was televised on the (newly discovered) cbs sports network. and the offenses were so dominant they winded themselves. really. at the end of one long screen play, rb charles sims fell/dove across the goal line due to exhaustion, then needed help getting back to the sideline. case showed nice touch and accuracy. joe flashed speed. this game was played in 95 degree heat. +1 nut.
might have a play tmrw. saturday, for sure.
....................................................... 9.30.11 .......................................................
Blue Whale:
Utah St. at Bringham Young -7.5
This degenerate matchup is gonna turn my week around. Can't see it any other way. BYU for two nuts. Adding under 50 for two more.
- cougars 27 aggies 24. -4 nuts. maybe college ain't my forte.
....................................................... 10.1.11 .......................................................
known associate:
baylor at KSU +3.5. 2 nuts.
robert griffin III is fun to watch but i'm picking arthur brown and the home-dog wildcats for an outright win.
- wildcats 36 bears 35. rg3 is officially my latest quarterblack mancrush. the former high school track star has almost as many passing tds (18) as incompletions (20) this season. one of those tds was a cold-blooded backfoot 35 yarder on 4th down to the equally impressive kendall wright. unfortunately for the bears, one of those incompletions was a late game interception (rg3's 1st this season) by arthur brown that set up the winning field goal for the wildcats. +2 nuts.
arizona team total OVER 22.5 (at usc). 1 nut.
the trojans are bunk and WR juron criner (6-4, 215) has a favorable matchup against CB nickell robey (5-foot-8, 165 pounds).
- trojans 48 wildcats 41. criner got his td. true freshman ka'deem carey is someone to watch. both defenses are bunk. +1 nut.
alabama at florida UNDER 44.5. 1 nut.
also played the tide at -3. dre kirkpatrick is fresh. trent richardson > mark ingram.
- crimson tide 38 gators 10. -1 nut. roll tide.
collits records through 10/1:
known associate. 4-2. 3 nuts
Not Your Type. 0-1. -2 nuts
Blue Whale. 3-5. -10 nuts
Saturday, September 24, 2011
NFL 2011 Week 3
Billy Rubin:
CLE -2 vs MIA - 3 Nuts: Miami's probably not that bad a team, but this is their first road game. I know they've been a better road team under Sparano, but I still think playing at home should play to Cleveland's advantage in this game. Miami's D has been far from stout so far this year, although they've played two of the better offensive teams the first two weeks. Cleveland's offense hasn't exactly lit up the scoreboard either, but I think this might be just the right circumstances for the Browns to cover.
DET -3 @ MIN - 2 Nuts: Hopefully this isn't just me trying to make up for not going big enough on Detroit last week. Division game on the road, I know, but I think the Lions should be able to pass all over Minny. I really hope this isn't the week Stafford's shoulder breaks this year.
CIN - 2.5 vs. SF - 2 Nuts: I wasn't sure if I should go with this game, against my hometown Niners, or Baltimore over St. Louis, but the line for Baltimore keeps moving in the wrong direction for my liking, so I'm taking the Bengals. Niners first road game and it's an early game. Those factors and the fact that the Niners haven't be very good at all in any facet of the offensive game should be enough for Cincy to win by a field goal and let Cris Collinsworth finger his asshole in peace. There are a lot of moving pieces in this game though, so I wouldn't be totally surprised if the Niners shock it/Bengals implode.
0-2-1 (-5 nuts)
Blue Whale:
HOU at NOR -4 2 Nuts: Saints will not go down at their houseKAN 14 at SDG 2 Nuts: I'm not trying to start any mess. Kansas City can't be that bad. In a divisional matchup it's hard to take the favorite in a double digit spread. Kansas City has weapons and I think with McCluster getting touches out of the backfield, he adds a nice dimension to the offense. Haley is in the hot seat and this is a must win situation for him and the Chiefs. Plus the reason why I'm taking the Chiefs is because they are a two TD dog in this matchup and the book is offering a moneyline wager for this game still. Public is heavy on both the Chargers spread and ML by 79% each. Nothing is easy in Vegas.
JAC 2.5 at CAR 2 Nuts: Again I am going against the concensus here as the public has jumped on the Cam Newton Bandwagon with 79% on the Panthers ML. Newton is electrifying but this is the NFL where teams will eventually figure you out. Newton is 0-2 for a reason, he has 4 picks to his 3 tds. Granted it is still early in the season but teams will exploit that weakness. Blaine Gabbert will prove to be an exceptional upgrade from Luke McCown and hopefully spread the defense just a little to create space for MJD to run amuck.
2-1 (2 nuts)
known associate:
sf at CIN -1. 3 nuts
- niners 13 bengals 8. a win is a win is a win (unless you bet cincy). go niners.
ne at buf OVER 54.5. 2 nuts
- pats 31 bills 34. ea$y.
WAS +3.5 at dal. 2 nuts
- skins 16 tony romo 18. uhh, i still don't know what to make of this game.. but i'll take it.
you blow, she go. you pop, she stop. (one nut.)
Not Your Typo:
NYJ -2.5 @ OAK: 2 nuts
ATL +1 @ TB: 2 nuts
ARI -3 @ SEA: 3 nuts
0-3 (-7 nuts)
records through week 2:
Billy Rubin: 5-1. +11 nuts.
Not Your Type: 3-3. 0 nuts
known associate: 2-4. -3 nuts
Blue Whale: 2-3-1. -5 nuts.
Thursday, September 22, 2011
Collits Football 2011 Two
9.22.11
Blue Whale says:
North Carolina St. Wolf Pack Vs. Cincinnati Bearcats total 60.5 over
Hard to pick the side here, both sides have burnt me in the past. I know that both teams can score a ton especially on weak defenses, which both teams also have. The Wolfpack have averaged 35 points a game this season while allowing 22 points from opposing teams. The Bearcats dropped 72 points on Austin Peay and 49 on an inept Akron Zips. Dont know what else to say but you cant cap point shaving. 4 Nuts
- bearcats 44 wolfpack 14. -4 nuts.
known associate:
WOLFPACK +7 at bearcats. 1 nut
touts and public are heavy on cincy. i'll go the other way since i've finished my NFL capping and i'm a degenerate that has nothing better to do on this fine thursday night in the city.
(i took this at +7.5 -110 if any y'all care)
i still like the wolfpack though.
- the public, touts and titties won. i didn't. dumb bet. -1 nut
-------------------------------------------------------------
collits records through 9/22:
known associate. 1-1. no nuts
Not Your Type. 0-1. -2 nuts
Blue Whale. 3-2. -3 nuts
Blue Whale says:
North Carolina St. Wolf Pack Vs. Cincinnati Bearcats total 60.5 over
Hard to pick the side here, both sides have burnt me in the past. I know that both teams can score a ton especially on weak defenses, which both teams also have. The Wolfpack have averaged 35 points a game this season while allowing 22 points from opposing teams. The Bearcats dropped 72 points on Austin Peay and 49 on an inept Akron Zips. Dont know what else to say but you cant cap point shaving. 4 Nuts
- bearcats 44 wolfpack 14. -4 nuts.
known associate:
WOLFPACK +7 at bearcats. 1 nut
touts and public are heavy on cincy. i'll go the other way since i've finished my NFL capping and i'm a degenerate that has nothing better to do on this fine thursday night in the city.
(i took this at +7.5 -110 if any y'all care)
i still like the wolfpack though.
- the public, touts and titties won. i didn't. dumb bet. -1 nut
-------------------------------------------------------------
collits records through 9/22:
known associate. 1-1. no nuts
Not Your Type. 0-1. -2 nuts
Blue Whale. 3-2. -3 nuts
Sunday, September 18, 2011
NFL 2011 Week 2 RESULTS
Billy Rubin
YTD: 2-1. 4 nuts.
Week 2 results: 3-0. 7 nuts.
New YTD: 5-1. +11 nuts.
Not Your Type
YTD: 1-2. -4 nuts.
Week 2 results: 2-1.+4 nuts.
New YTD: 3-3. 0 nuts
known associate
YTD: 1-2. 0 nuts.
Week 2 results: 1-2. -3 nuts
New YTD: 2-4. -3 nuts
Blue Whale
YTD: 0-0. 0 nuts.
Week 2 results: 2-3-1. -5 nuts.
New YTD: 2-3-1. -5 nuts.
YTD: 2-1. 4 nuts.
Week 2 results: 3-0. 7 nuts.
New YTD: 5-1. +11 nuts.
Not Your Type
YTD: 1-2. -4 nuts.
Week 2 results: 2-1.+4 nuts.
New YTD: 3-3. 0 nuts
known associate
YTD: 1-2. 0 nuts.
Week 2 results: 1-2. -3 nuts
New YTD: 2-4. -3 nuts
Blue Whale
YTD: 0-0. 0 nuts.
Week 2 results: 2-3-1. -5 nuts.
New YTD: 2-3-1. -5 nuts.
Friday, September 16, 2011
NFL 2011 Week 2
it's the return...
known associate:
locking in one pick early...
BAL -5.5 at ten. 4 nuts
ravens are an elite team this year. titans aren't.
- titans 26 ravens 13. i need to constantly remind myself that no team is as good or as bad as they seem (unless they're the chiefs). bad bet. -4 nuts
and then...
kc at DET -7.5. 3 nuts
the bills were able to pressure cassel. stafford and the beastly d-line should rout. don't sweat the hook... -7.5 and -3.5 at -110 or better are two of the best bets in football.
- lions 48 chiefs 3. jamaal charles wouldn't have made a difference. easy money. +3 nuts.
SD +6.5 at ne. 2 nuts
henne was able to pass against these pats so take the points in this shootout. 1pm pst start so no early west coast team fatigue to worry about.
- patriots 35 chargers 21. the chargers offense showed no interest in covering the spread (4 turnovers in NE territory plus a turnover on downs at the goal line). bad beat. -2 nuts.
(bought full points on these last two for non-nut purposes.)
NYT:
TB +3 @ MIN: 3 nuts
I'm in trouble if Donovan McNabb throws for 10% more yards than he threw for last week. On the wishlist: LaGarette Blount punching AP in the hamstring.
+3 nuts. It wasn't looking good for most of the day, but it happened.
KC @ DET -7.5: 4 nuts
Lions will eat Chiefs most days of the week, unless they are in the boardroom.
+4 nuts. I wanted to put all my nuts into this game, but I was too chicken poop.
ARI @ WAS -3: 3 nuts
I hate to trust nuts on a team led by Rex Grossman, but I'm going to go against my better judgement and do it anyway.
-3 nuts. I should have gone with my instinct to stay away from this game.
Blue Whale:
Tampa Bay at Minny -2.5
Vikes get no respect at their own house what happened to the courteous 3 point spread home teams are suppose to get. Minnesota pass rush was effective enough to prevent Rivers from airing it out big time. You think young Freeman will fair any better? Historically, Mcnabb never loses twice in a row. Or was that only when he was with the Eagles? Nonetheless, I have to pick against Just Not Your Type. 2 nuts
Houston at Miami +3
Damn Miami was 1-7 at their own house last season. Henne looked really good last week against New England and Houstons D looked really good against Indy impotent offense. I think Miami Offense will shine in this game. DBs can't keep up with Marshall and Bess. 4 Nuts
Philly -2.5 at Atlanta
Atlanta is hard at the dome. But I can see why the public swayed the Falcons from being -1.5 favorites to +2.5 underdogs. Who is Matt Ryan gonna throw to? Roddy? Covered by Nnamdi . Julio? Asante got him. Gonzalez? Whatever. Mike turner can't catch plus he lost a step. Philly got speed and starpower. That's AND 1 football. 4 nuts
Blue Whale gets 3 extra picks to make up for missing week 1 and he's opted to use them all this week...
chi at NOLA -4.5. 3 nuts
OAK +4 at buffalo. 2 nuts
DAL -3 at sf. 5 nuts
Billy Rubin:
kc at DET -7.5. 5 nuts
HOU -3 at mia. 1 nut
CLE -1.5 at ind. 1 nut
records (after week 1):
Billy Rubin. 2-1. 4 nuts.
known associate. 1-2. 0 nuts.
Blue Whale. 0-0. 0 nuts.
Not Your Type. 1-2. -4 nuts.
known associate:
locking in one pick early...
BAL -5.5 at ten. 4 nuts
ravens are an elite team this year. titans aren't.
- titans 26 ravens 13. i need to constantly remind myself that no team is as good or as bad as they seem (unless they're the chiefs). bad bet. -4 nuts
and then...
kc at DET -7.5. 3 nuts
the bills were able to pressure cassel. stafford and the beastly d-line should rout. don't sweat the hook... -7.5 and -3.5 at -110 or better are two of the best bets in football.
- lions 48 chiefs 3. jamaal charles wouldn't have made a difference. easy money. +3 nuts.
SD +6.5 at ne. 2 nuts
henne was able to pass against these pats so take the points in this shootout. 1pm pst start so no early west coast team fatigue to worry about.
- patriots 35 chargers 21. the chargers offense showed no interest in covering the spread (4 turnovers in NE territory plus a turnover on downs at the goal line). bad beat. -2 nuts.
(bought full points on these last two for non-nut purposes.)
NYT:
TB +3 @ MIN: 3 nuts
I'm in trouble if Donovan McNabb throws for 10% more yards than he threw for last week. On the wishlist: LaGarette Blount punching AP in the hamstring.
+3 nuts. It wasn't looking good for most of the day, but it happened.
KC @ DET -7.5: 4 nuts
Lions will eat Chiefs most days of the week, unless they are in the boardroom.
+4 nuts. I wanted to put all my nuts into this game, but I was too chicken poop.
ARI @ WAS -3: 3 nuts
I hate to trust nuts on a team led by Rex Grossman, but I'm going to go against my better judgement and do it anyway.
-3 nuts. I should have gone with my instinct to stay away from this game.
Blue Whale:
Tampa Bay at Minny -2.5
Vikes get no respect at their own house what happened to the courteous 3 point spread home teams are suppose to get. Minnesota pass rush was effective enough to prevent Rivers from airing it out big time. You think young Freeman will fair any better? Historically, Mcnabb never loses twice in a row. Or was that only when he was with the Eagles? Nonetheless, I have to pick against Just Not Your Type. 2 nuts
Houston at Miami +3
Damn Miami was 1-7 at their own house last season. Henne looked really good last week against New England and Houstons D looked really good against Indy impotent offense. I think Miami Offense will shine in this game. DBs can't keep up with Marshall and Bess. 4 Nuts
Philly -2.5 at Atlanta
Atlanta is hard at the dome. But I can see why the public swayed the Falcons from being -1.5 favorites to +2.5 underdogs. Who is Matt Ryan gonna throw to? Roddy? Covered by Nnamdi . Julio? Asante got him. Gonzalez? Whatever. Mike turner can't catch plus he lost a step. Philly got speed and starpower. That's AND 1 football. 4 nuts
Blue Whale gets 3 extra picks to make up for missing week 1 and he's opted to use them all this week...
chi at NOLA -4.5. 3 nuts
OAK +4 at buffalo. 2 nuts
DAL -3 at sf. 5 nuts
Billy Rubin:
kc at DET -7.5. 5 nuts
HOU -3 at mia. 1 nut
CLE -1.5 at ind. 1 nut
records (after week 1):
Billy Rubin. 2-1. 4 nuts.
known associate. 1-2. 0 nuts.
Blue Whale. 0-0. 0 nuts.
Not Your Type. 1-2. -4 nuts.
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
Collits Football 2011 One
gettin an early start on college this year. the majority of picks will probably come from our newest associate, Blue Whale.
9.15.11
Blue Whale says:
LES MILES -3 vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville 3 nuts.
Sprinkle 1 nut on UNDER 50 total.
No write up......feeeeeel.
- result: LSU 19 Miss St 6. win x2 = 4 nuts.
known associate thinks:
LSU is the better team but they're a bit overvalued at the moment. their passing offense was iffy (jarret lee, 10 for 22) while their defense was primarily responsible for driving up the score in their big season opening win vs the ducks. if their speedy, ball-hawking D can set up a few easy scores, the tigers should win by double digits. if not, i think the bulldogs will control the ball with physicality and be in position to win this game outright, perpetuating the ESPN thursday night home dog trend.
i'm laying off a side entirely but will be sprinkling a bit of cash on the under 50.5. no nuts though... this season, we're using current hilton sportsbook lines for blog pick purposes and i missed out on 50.
9.16.11
Blue Whale:
Kellen Moore n 'Nem at Toledo 61.0 total Over.
One high powered offense one pretty good offense. Garbage time points. Boise Stare should be up by 4 Tds by the third quarter even without Doug Martin. Coach Peterson has a knack for pulling out his starters when the game is out of hand. Five Nuts.
Boise State came into Hotlanta and defeated a declining Georgia program 35-21. Nonetheless it was still exceptional Bronco football. Last week Toledo came into THEE Ohio State University's house and messed around almost coming out as the straight up winner. Now they have to travel to Idaho on a short week to face a Boise State team that had two weeks preparation. That said Boise State Broncos -20. TWO Nuts though.
- result: bsu 40 toledo 15. 1-1. -3 nuts net.
the over was a bad beat. by known associate's count, there were 3 missed extra point attempts, 1 failed 2 point conversion and 2 turnovers in the redzone; not counting the times the broncos turned the ball over on downs due to lack of faith in their kicker.
9.17.11
NYT:
Buffalo @ Ball St. -4.5: 2 nuts
It's only appropriate that I wager nuts on school named Ball State.
known associate:
The U -2.5 vs the ohio state university. 1 nut.
party time in coral gables as long as jacory harris doesn't shit the bed in his first game back.
- slurricanes 24 suckeyes 6. +1 nut.
may have a play on the stanford-zona game pending the injury report.
-------------------------------------------------------------
records:
Blue Whale. 3-1. 1 nut.
known associate. 1-0. 1 nut.
Not Your Type. 0-1. -2 nuts.
9.15.11
Blue Whale says:
LES MILES -3 vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville 3 nuts.
Sprinkle 1 nut on UNDER 50 total.
No write up......feeeeeel.
- result: LSU 19 Miss St 6. win x2 = 4 nuts.
known associate thinks:
LSU is the better team but they're a bit overvalued at the moment. their passing offense was iffy (jarret lee, 10 for 22) while their defense was primarily responsible for driving up the score in their big season opening win vs the ducks. if their speedy, ball-hawking D can set up a few easy scores, the tigers should win by double digits. if not, i think the bulldogs will control the ball with physicality and be in position to win this game outright, perpetuating the ESPN thursday night home dog trend.
i'm laying off a side entirely but will be sprinkling a bit of cash on the under 50.5. no nuts though... this season, we're using current hilton sportsbook lines for blog pick purposes and i missed out on 50.
9.16.11
Blue Whale:
Kellen Moore n 'Nem at Toledo 61.0 total Over.
One high powered offense one pretty good offense. Garbage time points. Boise Stare should be up by 4 Tds by the third quarter even without Doug Martin. Coach Peterson has a knack for pulling out his starters when the game is out of hand. Five Nuts.
Boise State came into Hotlanta and defeated a declining Georgia program 35-21. Nonetheless it was still exceptional Bronco football. Last week Toledo came into THEE Ohio State University's house and messed around almost coming out as the straight up winner. Now they have to travel to Idaho on a short week to face a Boise State team that had two weeks preparation. That said Boise State Broncos -20. TWO Nuts though.
- result: bsu 40 toledo 15. 1-1. -3 nuts net.
the over was a bad beat. by known associate's count, there were 3 missed extra point attempts, 1 failed 2 point conversion and 2 turnovers in the redzone; not counting the times the broncos turned the ball over on downs due to lack of faith in their kicker.
9.17.11
NYT:
Buffalo @ Ball St. -4.5: 2 nuts
It's only appropriate that I wager nuts on school named Ball State.
known associate:
The U -2.5 vs the ohio state university. 1 nut.
party time in coral gables as long as jacory harris doesn't shit the bed in his first game back.
- slurricanes 24 suckeyes 6. +1 nut.
may have a play on the stanford-zona game pending the injury report.
-------------------------------------------------------------
records:
Blue Whale. 3-1. 1 nut.
known associate. 1-0. 1 nut.
Not Your Type. 0-1. -2 nuts.
Sunday, September 11, 2011
NFL 2011 Week 1 Results
known associate: o nuts - hungry squirrel alert...this squirrel got a family to feed
billy rubin: 4 nuts - bukake party
not your type: -4 nuts - 4 generations of McFlys wiped out
billy rubin: 4 nuts - bukake party
not your type: -4 nuts - 4 generations of McFlys wiped out
NFL 2011 Week 1
known associate:
PIT +1 at bal. 3 nuts
CLE -6.5 vs cin. 2 nuts
NE -7 at mia. 5 nuts
billy rubin:
PIT +1 at bal. 3 nuts
HOU -9 vs ind. 3 nuts
CIN +6.5 at cle. 4 nuts
not your type:
DET +1 @ TB: 3 Nuts
I am buying into the hype of the Lions. Hopefully LaGarrette Blount doesn't punch Matt Stafford in the dick.
Three nuts! Zero confrimed dick punches.
NYG -1 @ WAS: 4 Nuts
The functioning Manning has to succeed because science tells me that energy cannot be created nor destroyed, but it can be transferred from one state to another; therefore the "Manning Success at Throwing Things Energy" has to go somewhere if Peyton is not playing because it has nowhere else to go, unless it goes to Archie and/or the non-NFL Manning.
-4 nuts. Cam Newton is a Manning.
CIN @ CLE -6.5: 3 Nuts
clean orange helmet > orange helmet with an oil spill on it
-3 nuts. The lesson here is that the Exxon Valdez > Prince William Sound. That equation was proven again with this match-up. I need a math tutor.
Tuesday, January 25, 2011
My Favorite Albums of 2010
Before we get too far into 2011, I wanted to write a post about my favorite albums of 2010. Initially, I planned on listing all the albums I thought were good that I came across in 2010, but that list was getting kind of long and who am I to judge what's good and what's not? So here's a list of the albums I listened to and enjoyed the most in 2010. I tend to fixate on an album if I like it a lot, so this list isn't terribly long, and it's not organized in any particular order.
Big. K.R.I.T., K.R.I.T. Wuz Here: This was a free mixtape released digitally in the summer of 2010. I discussed it previously on this blog, but basically it's much closer to a legitimate album than merely a mixtape, and was received as such, with Big K.R.I.T. ultimately getting a record deal with Def Jam based on Wuz Here's success.
Die Antwoord, $O$: Another album I discussed in the post linked above. My sense is you either love Die Antwoord or you hate them. Clearly, I fall in the former category, but I can definitely understand that these guys aren't for everyone. I still love this song and this one too.
Das Racist, Shut Up, Dude: Another free digital mixtape that has been on heavy rotation for me since I first downloaded it. From what I've read on message boards, it doesn't seem like internet rap nerds think these dudes are that technically proficient at rapping, which I don't necessarily agree with, but even if they aren't they more than make up for it with their subject matter and wordplay. Just about every time I listen to a Das Racist track I pick up on another arcane reference, and they have some classic lines, i.e. "white people's skin is their jewelry". Das Racist also released a second free mixtape in 2010, Sit Down, Man, which isn't bad by any means, but Shut Up, Dude is my favorite for tracks like this and this.
Sleigh Bells, Treats: The debut album from this Brooklyn-based "noise pop" duo, is hard as fuck. I saw them live opening for Hot Chip and my ears were ringing for at least two days afterward, which isn't that great of thing for my long-term health, I suppose. I actually think i like their "softest" song the most (who doesn't love a song with a girl singing "666"?), but the heavier songs aren't any less appealing and they sound great blasting in your car.
Yelawolf, Trunk Muzik: Yet another free digital mixtape that got, and still gets, heavy rotation from me. I discussed this in that one post along with Wuz Here and $O$, and I'm getting sick of typing, so I won't go into too much detail here. Plus, Yelawolf has been getting a lot of press lately after signing to Eminem's label and following the release of his official ablum, which is basically a re-worked Trunk Muzik.
There you have it; those are the albums that served as the majority of the soundtrack to my 2010. There were plenty of other albums from 2010 that I thought were pretty good, including, but not limited to: Sufer Bloods' Astro Coast; The Jacka & Lee Majors' The Gobots 2.0; PRGz's Hood Headlinaz Vol. 2; Kanye's My Beautiful Dark Fantasty; Mark Ronson's Record Collection; E-40's double album; Reflection Eternal's Revolutions Per Minute; Big Boi's Sir Lucious Left Foot...; Vampire Weekend's Contra and Roc Marciano's Marcberg.
Image via NH7.
Sunday, January 23, 2011
Championship Weekend 2011
The football season is winding to a close, only three more games left for the world's degenerate gamblers. Here are our picks for today's NFC and AFC Championship games.
---------------
GB -3 @ CHI: I think the Packers should win, but my projections show it being only a one or two point victory, so I'm not super confident in this pick. I'd definitely buy the hook and/or tease this one.
PIT - 4 @ NYJ: I feel even less confident about this than I do about the Packers/Bears game. PIT should win, just not quite sure it'll be by enough to cover; my projections have them winning by only three. And I definitely think the Jets are the more likely underdog to pull out the upset today.
GB @ CHI over 42.5: I'm picking this just to have three picks. I think Vegas has the point totals correct, but I think this game has a decent shot of going over if the Bears offense and/or return game is going today.
---------------
known associate:
GB -3 @ chi
PIT -4 vs nyj
gb @ chi UNDER 42.5
i'm not playing any of these but i did buy both faves down to -2.5 earlier this week and have both first half unders on small parlays.
known associate:
GB -3 @ chi
PIT -4 vs nyj
gb @ chi UNDER 42.5
i'm not playing any of these but i did buy both faves down to -2.5 earlier this week and have both first half unders on small parlays.
- known associate's final 2010-11 NFL record: 36-24-2
Friday, January 21, 2011
Help Save Webster the Cocker Spaniel
For those who don't know me, I love Cocker Spaniels. Well, I love dogs in general, but I really love Cocker Spaniels. On Facebook I follow one particular Cocker Spaniel rescue group based in Southern California - Camp Cocker. They seem to do really good work and they genuinely care about the dogs they rescue. The woman who runs the rescue group has a regular job and basically operates Camp Cocker in her spare time. Needless to say, boarding, rehabilitating and providing medical care for up to 20 dogs at one time can be expensive, so Camp Cocker is always seeking donations. I'm a monthly donor myself, which makes me feel like I'm doing something good for the doggies.
Camp Cocker recently rescued a three year old male Cocker Spaniel from a high kill shelter in the Los Angeles area. His name is Webster. I haven't read too much about him or watched his videos, mostly because they make me sad, but he looks to be in pretty bad shape. He's coughing up fluids and he'll likely need a lot of medical attention.
I'm not quite sure who, if anyone, reads this blog, but if you love dogs and you can spare some money, maybe you can help Webster out by donating some money via the ChipIn link below. Per there website: Camp Cocker Rescue operates under the 501c3 of Katrina Dog Rescue, Tax ID #20-8687566. So, any donation would be tax deductible.
If you want more info about Camp Cocker, visit their website linked above or follow them on Facebook.
Camp Cocker recently rescued a three year old male Cocker Spaniel from a high kill shelter in the Los Angeles area. His name is Webster. I haven't read too much about him or watched his videos, mostly because they make me sad, but he looks to be in pretty bad shape. He's coughing up fluids and he'll likely need a lot of medical attention.
I'm not quite sure who, if anyone, reads this blog, but if you love dogs and you can spare some money, maybe you can help Webster out by donating some money via the ChipIn link below. Per there website: Camp Cocker Rescue operates under the 501c3 of Katrina Dog Rescue, Tax ID #20-8687566. So, any donation would be tax deductible.
If you want more info about Camp Cocker, visit their website linked above or follow them on Facebook.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
Divisional Week
Here are our picks for the divisional playoff games.
billy rubin:
GB +1.5 @ ATL: I actually think this line is pretty accurate, but I want Green Bay to win, so I'll take it. I'm glad I locked in GB +2.5 earlier in the week though.
PIT -3 vs. BAL: Again, I think Vegas is right on here. My projections have PIT winning 20-17, but I think there's a chance PIT beats the spread, so they're one of my blog picks. I would tease this in real life.
SEA +10 @ CHI: I don't want to go back to the well too often, but I have CHI winning by 4-6 points, not 10.
---------------
known associate agrees with billy rubin.
GB +1.5 @ atl
this is my strongest play of the weekend. the falcons' season record (and matty ice's home record) isn't legitimate as they've feasted on some terrible teams. i'm a bit concerned of the short week but the packers are peaking and i think they win straight up . i also bet a couple units on gb +3 earlier this week to be safe.
SEA +10 @ chi
i liked this play a lot more earlier this week. the bears are a different team than the one seattle beat in week 6 but cutler should screw it up just enough (in his first playoff game) for the seahawks to cover.
PIT -3 vs bal
it seems to obvious to take the points in this one. just a small play for me but i'll side with the books and bet against the public dog as the steelers are relatively healthy and the ravens o-line is banged up.
i'm also taking NE -6 first half in case anyone cares.
known associate agrees with billy rubin.
GB +1.5 @ atl
this is my strongest play of the weekend. the falcons' season record (and matty ice's home record) isn't legitimate as they've feasted on some terrible teams. i'm a bit concerned of the short week but the packers are peaking and i think they win straight up . i also bet a couple units on gb +3 earlier this week to be safe.
SEA +10 @ chi
i liked this play a lot more earlier this week. the bears are a different team than the one seattle beat in week 6 but cutler should screw it up just enough (in his first playoff game) for the seahawks to cover.
PIT -3 vs bal
it seems to obvious to take the points in this one. just a small play for me but i'll side with the books and bet against the public dog as the steelers are relatively healthy and the ravens o-line is banged up.
i'm also taking NE -6 first half in case anyone cares.
Monday, January 10, 2011
Divisional Weekend Preview - Part 1
The following is some expert analysis for the Bears-Seahawks game that will take place this Sunday in Chicago. Feel free to use this inside information as you please.
10:49 AM billy rubin: i kinda like seattle again this weekend
opening line is chicago -10
i think it should be closer to chicago -5
10:50 AM not your type: What's the weather forecast?
10:51 AM br: is the game saturday or sunday?
it's sunday
low 20s/high teens
partly cloudy
10:52 AM 0% chance of precipitation
but it's supposed to snow on saturday
nyt: Hmmm
Interesting
br: that forecast will probably change by sunday though
nyt: Yeah
10:53 AM I think if it's ugly, I like the bears
br: there are a lot of things to consider though
10:54 AM both teams' return games
and both teams' qb's liking to throw to the opposition
and both teams' inability to run the ball
damn, fuck the seahawks if they advance to the nfc championship game
hahaha
Fin.
10:55 AM nyt: I think the bears will win simply because in the would a bear would definitely eat a seahawk
10:56 AM In the wild
br: but a seahawk could shit on a bear
and taunt the bear with fish from the sea
all it has to do is not go within striking distance of the bear
10:57 AM and attack stealthily from behind with its talons
nyt: But a bear can have tissue crumbs on its ass
br: that is true
if tv has taught me anything in the last few years, that is it
10:58 AM byt: Once a seahawk can do that, I might change my mind
Saturday, January 8, 2011
Wild Card Weekend
This post is a little late, and I'm not sure if the other guys are going to be posting anything, but here are my (billy rubin's) picks for Wild Card Weekend:
SEA +10 vs. NO: This one's not looking so good right now, but it's early yet.
IND -2 vs. NYJ: I'm not terribly confident about this game; I think it's going to be ugly and either team could win, but I'm going with the Colts for our purposes here.
GB +2.5 @ PHI: I'm more confident about this game. I expect the Packers to win straight up, but I'll gladly take the points.
...............................................
known associate:
BAL -3 @ kc
bal-kc UNDER 40.5
GB +2.5 @ phi
...............................................
known associate:
BAL -3 @ kc
bal-kc UNDER 40.5
GB +2.5 @ phi
Tuesday, January 4, 2011
College Bowl Plays Part Two
part one here.
1/3
orange bowl: stanford vs virginia tech
- STANFORD -3 for 1 unit
i'm usually partial to quarterblacks but the hokies thrive on forced turnovers and i just don't see the harbaugh/luck led cardinal committing many.
- STAN -0.5 1st quarter for 1.5 units
season averages for 1st quarter: cardinal 12, hokies 6.3. plus, a couple hokies will be benched.
bullcaca.
- STAN -2.5 2nd half for 1 unit
i'm guessing tyrod won't carry his team for an entire 60 minutes.
result: win, win and win.
cardinal 40 hokies 12 and jed york busted a couple nuts picturing this...
jim harbaugh andrew luck san francisco 49ers
sugar bowl next.
1/4
sugar bowl: arkansas vs ohio state
- ARK +3.5 for 3 units
- ARK MONEYLINE +135 for 1.5 units to win 2 units
sec > big ten so tonight i'ma side with the melanin deficient pro-style quarterback again. i'll admit, i'm a bit wary of tOSU's nfl caliber talent but they played a cupcake schedule that included only 4 games away from home (going 1-2-1 against the spread in those games). the wrong team is favored here.
result: loss, loss. buckeyes 31 razorbacks 26
"i dunno right now... my foot, that's all i know." –#2
- ARK -0.5 2nd half for 3 units
result: win. razorbacks 16 buckeyes 3
small bowl, small play on thursday night.
1/6
godaddy.com bowl: middle tenn st vs miami (ohio)
- parlay UNDER 24.5 1st half/MIAMI +3 for 0.5 unit to win 1 unit
for fucks. stay shady, mr. dasher.
result: loss. redhawks 14 blue raiders 14 half.
damn those big plays.
- MIAMI +1 2nd half for 0.5 unit
result: win. redhawks 21 blue raiders 7.
dirty.
1/7
cotton bowl: lsu vs texas a&m
- A&M +3 for 5 units
again, i think the wrong team is favored. hopefully it works out for me this time.
- parlay A&M +3/UNDER 24.5 1st half for 0.5 unit to win 1 unit
here i go again with the 1st half under.
- parlay A&M +3/AUB -0.5 1st half (monday night) for 0.5 unit to win 1 unit
- A&M -0.5 2nd half for 2 units
result: loss x4. i suck.
this dude has some knockers...
1/9
hunger bowl: boston college vs nevada
- NEVADA -7 for 2 units
the eagles boast the #1 rushing defense this season... but they've only played 2 top 50 rushing offenses; losing to both.
result: push. wolfpack 20 eagles 13. i saw it but i'm still not sure i believe bc scored 13 points.
1/10
mnc game: oregon vs auburn
the ducks' "blur" offense is scary but the tigers are battle-tested (6 wins vs top 25 teams vs 1 win for oregon) and match up fairly well. auburn's major weakness is their secondary but oregon's receivers are mediocre... so the auburn corners should be able to keep them in check with man coverage while the front seven (plus safety help) can focus on slowing down the prolific oregon running game. on the other side of the ball, i seriously doubt the undersized ducks will be able to contain auburn's smashmouth attack. in addition, the two most dominant players in this game will be wearing burnt orange– QB cam newton and possible #1 overall pick DT/DE nick fairley. definitely not the game to bet the mortgage on but i'll take the tigers.
my plays...
- AUB PICK for 0.5 unit
result: win. tigers 22 ducks 19.
- AUB -0.5 1st half for 2 units (locked in early)
oregon usually makes their run late in the second half when opposing defenses are gassed so auburn should control the game until then, at least. just wish i waited to place this bet as the line's moved to a pick.
result: win. tigers 16 ducks 11.
- UNDER 37 1st half for 2 units
one last go around with the first half under. this total is extremely high and although points will be scored, the majority should come in the second half when nerves settle and the defenses wear down. plus, these teams are coming off the longest layoff of any two teams playing in the mnc game. i figure there'll be some rust involved. a few punts and/or field goals (instead of touchdowns) should seal the deal.
result: win.
- parlay AUB PK 1st half/UNDER 36.5 1st half for 0.5 unit to win 1 unit
also added...
- tease AUB +8/UNDER 80.5 for 0.5 unit
results: win and win.
pending the lines, leaning over and ducks for the second half.
- OVER 38 2nd half for 0.5 unit
- parlay OREGON -1.5/OVER 38 for 0.25
results. loss, loss. ducks 8 tigers 6.
fade away!
final 2010-11 bowl season record:
straight bets: 18-14-1. 2 units
parlays/teasers: 3-10. -3.75 units
total -1.75 units
1/3
orange bowl: stanford vs virginia tech
- STANFORD -3 for 1 unit
i'm usually partial to quarterblacks but the hokies thrive on forced turnovers and i just don't see the harbaugh/luck led cardinal committing many.
- STAN -0.5 1st quarter for 1.5 units
season averages for 1st quarter: cardinal 12, hokies 6.3. plus, a couple hokies will be benched.
bullcaca.
- STAN -2.5 2nd half for 1 unit
i'm guessing tyrod won't carry his team for an entire 60 minutes.
result: win, win and win.
cardinal 40 hokies 12 and jed york busted a couple nuts picturing this...
jim harbaugh andrew luck san francisco 49ers
sugar bowl next.
1/4
sugar bowl: arkansas vs ohio state
- ARK +3.5 for 3 units
- ARK MONEYLINE +135 for 1.5 units to win 2 units
sec > big ten so tonight i'ma side with the melanin deficient pro-style quarterback again. i'll admit, i'm a bit wary of tOSU's nfl caliber talent but they played a cupcake schedule that included only 4 games away from home (going 1-2-1 against the spread in those games). the wrong team is favored here.
result: loss, loss. buckeyes 31 razorbacks 26
"i dunno right now... my foot, that's all i know." –#2
- ARK -0.5 2nd half for 3 units
result: win. razorbacks 16 buckeyes 3
small bowl, small play on thursday night.
1/6
godaddy.com bowl: middle tenn st vs miami (ohio)
- parlay UNDER 24.5 1st half/MIAMI +3 for 0.5 unit to win 1 unit
for fucks. stay shady, mr. dasher.
result: loss. redhawks 14 blue raiders 14 half.
damn those big plays.
- MIAMI +1 2nd half for 0.5 unit
result: win. redhawks 21 blue raiders 7.
dirty.
1/7
cotton bowl: lsu vs texas a&m
- A&M +3 for 5 units
again, i think the wrong team is favored. hopefully it works out for me this time.
- parlay A&M +3/UNDER 24.5 1st half for 0.5 unit to win 1 unit
here i go again with the 1st half under.
- parlay A&M +3/AUB -0.5 1st half (monday night) for 0.5 unit to win 1 unit
- A&M -0.5 2nd half for 2 units
result: loss x4. i suck.
this dude has some knockers...
1/9
hunger bowl: boston college vs nevada
- NEVADA -7 for 2 units
the eagles boast the #1 rushing defense this season... but they've only played 2 top 50 rushing offenses; losing to both.
result: push. wolfpack 20 eagles 13. i saw it but i'm still not sure i believe bc scored 13 points.
1/10
mnc game: oregon vs auburn
the ducks' "blur" offense is scary but the tigers are battle-tested (6 wins vs top 25 teams vs 1 win for oregon) and match up fairly well. auburn's major weakness is their secondary but oregon's receivers are mediocre... so the auburn corners should be able to keep them in check with man coverage while the front seven (plus safety help) can focus on slowing down the prolific oregon running game. on the other side of the ball, i seriously doubt the undersized ducks will be able to contain auburn's smashmouth attack. in addition, the two most dominant players in this game will be wearing burnt orange– QB cam newton and possible #1 overall pick DT/DE nick fairley. definitely not the game to bet the mortgage on but i'll take the tigers.
my plays...
- AUB PICK for 0.5 unit
result: win. tigers 22 ducks 19.
- AUB -0.5 1st half for 2 units (locked in early)
oregon usually makes their run late in the second half when opposing defenses are gassed so auburn should control the game until then, at least. just wish i waited to place this bet as the line's moved to a pick.
result: win. tigers 16 ducks 11.
- UNDER 37 1st half for 2 units
one last go around with the first half under. this total is extremely high and although points will be scored, the majority should come in the second half when nerves settle and the defenses wear down. plus, these teams are coming off the longest layoff of any two teams playing in the mnc game. i figure there'll be some rust involved. a few punts and/or field goals (instead of touchdowns) should seal the deal.
result: win.
- parlay AUB PK 1st half/UNDER 36.5 1st half for 0.5 unit to win 1 unit
also added...
- tease AUB +8/UNDER 80.5 for 0.5 unit
results: win and win.
pending the lines, leaning over and ducks for the second half.
- OVER 38 2nd half for 0.5 unit
- parlay OREGON -1.5/OVER 38 for 0.25
results. loss, loss. ducks 8 tigers 6.
fade away!
final 2010-11 bowl season record:
straight bets: 18-14-1. 2 units
parlays/teasers: 3-10. -3.75 units
total -1.75 units
Sunday, January 2, 2011
NFL Week 17
NYT:
SD @ DEN +3.5
JAX +3 @ HOU
MIN @ DET -3.5
known associate:
NE -4.5 vs mia
CAR +14 @ atl
STL-3 @ sea
SD @ DEN +3.5
JAX +3 @ HOU
MIN @ DET -3.5
known associate:
NE -4.5 vs mia
CAR +14 @ atl
STL-3 @ sea
billy rubin:
NYG -4.5 @ WAS
DAL @ PHI o43.5
TEN @ IND o48
Monday, December 27, 2010
Sunday, December 26, 2010
NFL Week 16
It's the second to last week of the 2010-11 NFL season, so it's time to go on a roll and make up for some recent, sub-par weeks. Without further ado, here are our picks:
billy rubin: I'm in Paris and I'm about to go look at some Frenchies walk around being all French and stuff, so I'm a little out of the NFL loop, but here are the games I like the most this week:
BAL -3.5 vs. CLE: The Browns are pretty much a one trick pony, and while they're not an elite defense anymore, the Ravens are good against the run and against RBs in the passing game. They should be able to contain Hillis, if not shut him down completely. Baltimore's offense is far from the juggernaut people expected, and Cleveland has proven somewhat effective at preventing opposing WRs from having big games, so this will likely be the Ray Rice show, hopefully resulting in a win of four points or more.
HOU -2.5 @ DEN: I'm not 100% sure anybody in this game will care about the outcome, and it's tough to go against Jesus' own flesh and blood (Tim Tebow) the day after his pagan birthday celebration, but I just can't see Houston winning by less than four in this game, unless there's standing water, because Tim Tebow can walk on water.
SD -8 @ CIN: There's a good chance that the Bengals literally do not show up for this game. I'd certainly want to stay home and play with my Christmas gifts and eat leftovers if I were them. If they do decide to show up, they will be able to enjoy Rivers and company running up and down the field scoring points at will, while Carson Palmer and his noodle arm will enjoy being shut down on offense.
For what it's worth, I also really like the overs in New England @ Buffalo (44.5) and Jacksonville @ Washington (46), and I'd love to play the Niners +2.5 @ St. Louis, but there's this big dumb hall of famer that pretty much erases any confidence I have in that line.
known associate:
useful stat that some handicapping geek dug out: from 1981-2000, home dogs of 2+ points covered 52% of the time during weeks 1-14. not bad but not enough to turn a profit when factoring in the vig (54% is the magic # for cappers). BUT during the last 3 weeks of the season, that number goes up to 61%. do what you will with that but either way, late regular season betting in the NFL is crazy time so i'd advise tempering the amount of your wagers. while some teams are fighting for the playoffs or byes, others are looking towards the offseason or resting starters.
BAL -3.5 @ cle
- did i say some shit about home dogs of 2+ points? i forget. also, peyton hillis (aka the browns offense) is out.
det @ mia UNDER 41.5
- putting my faith in the dolphin defense. and offense.
DEN +2.5 vs hou
- the broncos' coach kinda reminds me of the (not so) big (but very) dumb dude on the niners sideline but the texans look like they've flat out just quit playing.
i also like the new york football giants to bounce back in green bay but that home dog stat kept it from being one of my top 3 plays. although, it may be my biggest money play today if i win a few of the 10am games or have a few more brews during that time. that nyg pass rush should prove to be too much for a certain recently concussed quarterback and the packer o-line.
known associate:
useful stat that some handicapping geek dug out: from 1981-2000, home dogs of 2+ points covered 52% of the time during weeks 1-14. not bad but not enough to turn a profit when factoring in the vig (54% is the magic # for cappers). BUT during the last 3 weeks of the season, that number goes up to 61%. do what you will with that but either way, late regular season betting in the NFL is crazy time so i'd advise tempering the amount of your wagers. while some teams are fighting for the playoffs or byes, others are looking towards the offseason or resting starters.
BAL -3.5 @ cle
- did i say some shit about home dogs of 2+ points? i forget. also, peyton hillis (aka the browns offense) is out.
det @ mia UNDER 41.5
- putting my faith in the dolphin defense. and offense.
DEN +2.5 vs hou
- the broncos' coach kinda reminds me of the (not so) big (but very) dumb dude on the niners sideline but the texans look like they've flat out just quit playing.
i also like the new york football giants to bounce back in green bay but that home dog stat kept it from being one of my top 3 plays. although, it may be my biggest money play today if i win a few of the 10am games or have a few more brews during that time. that nyg pass rush should prove to be too much for a certain recently concussed quarterback and the packer o-line.
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